20/08/2026
Be worried. They have gone from immigrants to using disabled people as their new popularity target. Please do look at the Fact Check underneath...
FACT CHECK: THE £7,000 “PER FAMILY” WELFARE CLAIM
Reform’s £7,000 figure sounds terrifying — until you see how they calculated it.
They simply take the entire forecast welfare bill and divide it by the number of households in Britain.
That gives roughly £7,000 per household.
But that is not the amount an ordinary family pays in tax towards welfare. Households do not all pay the same amount of tax. A low-income household, an average earner and a millionaire contribute completely different amounts.
So presenting £7,000 as an annual “tax burden on every family” makes the figure sound far more personal — and far more frightening — than it really is.
If “Honest Bob” wanted to give people meaningful context, he could simply tell them welfare spending excluding pensions as a share of total government spending:
Now: 12.7%
2030/31: 13.1%
That’s an increase of just 0.4 percentage points.
So instead of telling families “welfare will cost you £7,000 a year”, the more honest explanation is:
For every £100 the government spends, around £12.70 currently goes on non-pension welfare. By 2030/31, that is forecast to rise to about £13.10.
Quite a different impression, isn’t it?
Robert Jenrick