Climate Future

23/09/2026

This pretty much puts the truth on the line... https://www.facebook.com/reel/1789806679006668

22/09/2026

How can this be allowed to happen! Significant oil influence in the IPCC reports.
Working Group III sets out what we must do for policy makers. What we look for from WGIII is 'how do we shut down our use of coal, oil and gas'. Saudi Aramco is NOT the right body to be influencing the deliberations and outcomes for policy.
Quite simply - they are going to be advocating for any statement about shutting down oil and gas to be removed from the report.
Its a scandal and should be on the front page of every news outlet in the world.
We are talking survival of modern civilisation here.

Guardian investigation reveals fossil fuel links of IPCC authors, with experts declaring the body’s conflict of interest policy ‘not fit for purpose’

06/07/2026

This draft local strategic planning statement is WEAK ON CLIMATE and the Central Coast, as we all know, is so exposed to future climate shocks. We deserve better https://cen.org.au/news/draft-local-strategic-planning-statement-contains-incorrect-maps-and-poor-commitment-to-environment/

The Central Coast Council has unveiled their draft 20-year Local Strategic Planning Statement, featuring a lack of measurable climate targets, biodiversity targets and sustainable development principles.👎

What does it have? Incorrect maps!

We have until the 24th of July to get them to change it while it’s still on exhibition⚡️. Use our online submission form under 'LSPS Submission Guide' at cen.org.au to let the council know that you want better! 🌳

13/06/2026

More Evidence! An area of missing sea ice almost the size of NSW. Temperatures well above melting point instead of the usual -6 C (15.4 C average daily maximum). Roughly the same amount of sea ice again is missing from around the rest of the continent. These changes that have appeared over the last 4 years largely as a result of increased sea surface heat.
Increased extreme events are hitting Australia as a result.
The size of this large hole in the ice is most probably related to the coming El Nino. https://www.facebook.com/theguardianaustralia/posts/pfbid0wCQz1ChbdS1MkRK6RX3DnSLrniXFUXzjFJB4D11sJBSyW1w5fTMosV4cifnE2dEwl

A vast area of the Bellingshausen Sea should be covered by sea ice by now, with one expert calling the loss of ice ‘depressing’

12/03/2026

It's a while since our last post. This one seems to stand out as it builds on a lot of the climate science of the last few years and the most recent research on the processes at play. A lot of this revolves around the oceans. They are at the core of the behaviour of our climate system, containing 90% of the additional heat we have added.
Global temperatures have taken a jump since 2023. Many scientists are trying to pin down the cause of this jump. This article provides a convincing breakdown of an ocean mechanism driving global temperatures - surface heat in the top stratified layer.
This has direct implications for the urgency of preventing any more carbon emissions as this is a driver of extreme weather and represents an acceleration of atmospheric temperature increase.
Even 20 years ago, it seemed insane to be continuing to burn fossil carbon. Instead, we have continued to allow the coal, oil and gas industry to control our politics and our economy. They have continued to push us towards disaster. Now, we face the consequences of our own insanity and the criminal behaviour of those who have denied the truth.
To some it appears already too late. But, the more we push the climate system, the worse the final catastrophe will be. We owe it to those who come after us to step up and try harder.

As ocean layers decouple, a record-breaking 2025 heat pulse prepares to collide with a 2026 El Niño, supercharging global weather and accelerating non-linear warming.

06/02/2026

Our flying foxes provide a critical service to our forests by fertilising the flowers and spreading the seeds of many species of trees. Gum trees such as spotted gum, red gum, blackbutt, bloodwood, white mahogany, yellow box, tallowwood and more, as well as melaleucas, figs, banksias and rainforest trees such as quandong, silky oak, lilly pilly, brush box, and even many palm trees.
The loss of these bats as they are forced towards extinction by worse and worse heat waves, will cause the flow-on death of biodiversity right across the Australian east coast.
A foundational species in the Australian forest biome is being destroyed and we are not even at 1.5C yet.
Please act - call your representative. We must get off coal, oil and gas much faster than we currently are. The transition must be accelerated and preparations made to directly extract and permanently store the last 25 years of emissions (negative emissions). The longer we take simply increases the volume we need to extract.
https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2026/feb/05/flying-foxes-january-heatwaves-kill-thousands?fbclid=IwY2xjawPyCL5leHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZBAyMjIwMzkxNzg4MjAwODkyAAEeaB_NKAm8cetPhsyAaAyGw_ElJsCHREAFDH12wjkchsgN9YGSiKNfYQnXcEo_aem_V1kLCsV7E1dIjzEfh1-D5Q

Only 180 bats survived intense heat in South Australian town, including 34 babies that carers say face months of recovery

02/02/2026

This is the sort of irreversible change that a warming planet brings. This algal bloom may stay with us permanently. Or, it may become a recurring nightmare for ocean life and residents of South Australia into the future. It is not going to go back to the way it was.
As the global temperature rises above 1.5C in coming years, it's one step away from such blooms spreading wider, to many locations across the world. Already there are blooms along coastlines of Southern California, Brazil, China, South Korea, India, Persian Gulf, inland lakes in South Africa and Kenya, Baltic, Northern Ireland, Adriatic, Belgium, SW England, Lake Erie, and Florida.
Warning! - there is worse to come as marine heat waves increase in both extent and location. 90% of the energy we have trapped has gone into ocean waters.
Poisonous waters, anoxic zones, dead marine life. This is a direct threat to one of our main sources of food and we have 8 billion mouths to feed.
We need much more action from our governments. We are pushing 1.5C and some scientists say we are already committed to passing 2C. We are almost out of time - only a few short years left to get to zero and we certainly can go a lot faster to zero carbon.
We must stop approving coal, oil and gas and transition off what we already have. We must shut down the fossil fuel industry.
Please, please... go and talk to your representatives. Stop this madness before it is too late. Time is short.

On Kangaroo Island – where the bloom has washed death ashore for almost a year – a group of citizen scientists are focusing their efforts on "what’s still out there".

04/01/2026

Climate change does not just mean more heat. It also means stronger, longer-lasting and more chaotic weather.

Australia is at risk from similar behaviour over Antarctica. This article is written for Europe/US, but it provides a very good description of how a Sudden Stratospheric Warming (SSW) event over the poles changes the polar vortex and how the consequent changes to weather on the ground unfold. Similar SSW events over Antarctica are on the increase and we can expect these to impact on Australia.

The videos are particularly informative. Watch how the cold polar air penetrates into the temperate zone and causes sudden swings in hot/cold weather (apologies for the ads on the videos).

The result is very disturbed behaviour across inhabited temperate lands - heat waves followed by cold snaps and increasing storminess. This will impact on our buildings and on our agriculture. Failure of crops due to un-seasonal cold and hot swings is one result with fruit and seed failing to develop. Destruction of crops from strengthening heat, storms and floods is another.

Urgent action is required by all governments around the world. They are currently failing to make changes fast enough to meet the Paris goal of 1.5C. For example, we must immediately stop all new investment in fossil fuel mining and burning. Yet our governments continue to approve new coal, oil and gas mining, refining facilities, transport hubs, etc.

This is not some radical position. The fossil fuel industries have to be shut down now, starting with no new investment. This is what is needed to keep our world livable. We cannot negotiate with physics!

Is a major winter shift coming for the U.S. and Europe? New model data shows a Polar Vortex disruption is coming in January, following a Stratospheric Warming event

24/12/2025

Through Aug to late Oct 2025, a large portion of the Dehdal Glacier in Tajikistan barreled down a long valley. The mass of ice was destabilised by hot dry conditions for several months. A portion 1,500 m long by 200 m wide by 50 m high (around 10 million tonnes of ice) slid at high speed for 4 km in a few seconds and again a few days later by a further 5 km. No villages were impacted and there were no casualties. As of Dec, the movement of the remnant glacier has continued at 40 m per day.
The Dehdal Glacier is known for its surges, where it moves faster than normal (scientists have been regularly visiting the glacier for a long time). Surges have occurred 4 times in the last 120 years, the last one being as recently as 2016. The 2025 event was not expected for decades.
Similar massive collapses of large glaciers around Antarctica, such as the Thwaites Glacier, could release 100,000 times as much ice into the ocean in one go.
This is the scenario of a massive, sudden collapse of a significant proportion of land based ice into the world's oceans resulting in a sudden rise in sea level. Such behaviour of global ice has not been ruled out by the IPCC and may only be 20 years away given how we continue to expand mining and burning of coal, oil and gas.
This threat has to be compounded with many others - heat waves, drought, fire, flood, storm, etc. Climate change is a direct threat to our survival and we must react as if this is an emergency... because it is.
We have the technology to move to fully renewable electricity and transport. We must do so now, not in 25 years or even 10 years time. The change is urgent and pressing and the consequences if we don't act are too horrific to describe.
We must act now.

Scientists report: https://glofca.org/en/news/major-collapse-of-the-dehdal-glacier-an-indicator-of-climate-change/ #:~:text=On%2025%20October%202025%2C%20at,condition%20in%202020%20and%202024
Raw video: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/9hLi4zW0Xk4
Video narrated by scientist: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/CzogZFO5Hi8

A massive glacier in Tajikistan collapsed and started sliding down at high speed as a local filmed it on camera. It happened on the slopes of Ismoil Somoni P...