26/02/2025
WHY HEAVY RAINS AND FLOODS IN LUSAKA DON'T IMMEDIATELY FILL LAKE KARIBA
There has been a lot of debate about why Zambia is experiencing heavy rains and floods, yet Lake Kariba remains low, leading to continued load shedding. Some assume that because certain areas, like Lusaka, are flooded, the dam should be filling up. However, from a hydrological perspective, this is a misunderstanding of how Lake Kariba is replenished.
1. Lake Kariba Depends on the Zambezi River, Not Local Rains
Lake Kariba gets its water mainly from the Upper Zambezi River catchment, which includes Angola, Zambia (North-Western Province), Namibia, and Zimbabwe. If these regions do not receive enough rainfall, Kariba’s inflow remains low, no matter how much rain Lusaka or other parts of Zambia receive. Lusaka’s floodwaters do not drain into the Zambezi River system, so they have no impact on the lake’s levels.
2. It Takes Time for Water to Reach Kariba
Even when the right regions receive rainfall, water does not instantly fill up the lake. The Zambezi and its tributaries take time to collect and transport runoff. This process is slower when the land has been extremely dry, as the soil first absorbs a lot of water before it can contribute to river flow. Only after the ground is saturated does excess water start flowing into streams and, eventually, into Lake Kariba.
3. Other Factors Reduce Water Levels
Even with good rainfall, Kariba loses water through:
Evaporation: High temperatures cause significant water loss.
Seepage and absorption: Some water is lost before reaching the lake.
THE REALITY
Floods in Lusaka are not connected to Kariba’s water levels. The key to stopping load shedding lies in sufficient, widespread, and sustained rainfall in the Upper Zambezi River catchment, followed by enough time for water to reach the lake. Until that happens, Lake Kariba will take longer to recover. Understanding this is essential to having informed discussions about Zambia’s water and energy chall