18/08/2026
The recent die off of sardines has highlighted the vulnerability of our coastal areas to exposure of development and increasing urbanization.
There is lots of wild speculation of the causes for the die off, but as happens with nature, it is not always one factor.
I am currently up the west coast, about 80km south of the Namaqua National Park, and we have recorded washed out sardines on the beach.
This report highlights some of the factors that have most likely contributed to the recent die offs.
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📰 Sardine News Special Report
Cape Town’s Sewage Crisis and the Sardine Die-Off
🚨 Sewage Discharges off Cape Town
Atlantic Seaboard Outfalls:
Green Point, Camps Bay, and Hout Bay pump 27–32 million litres of raw sewage daily into the ocean.
These outfalls are exempt from faecal bacteria monitoring, meaning contamination is largely unchecked.
False Bay Pollution:
Failing sewage plants discharge 216 million litres/day of untreated or partially treated sewage into False Bay.
Total Sewage Load:
Cape Town releases 382 million litres/day — that’s ~139 billion litres/year of untreated or partially treated sewage into rivers and oceans.
🐟 Sardine Die-Off (2026)
Observed Symptoms: Sardines were seen gasping at the surface before dying — a classic sign of low oxygen stress linked to algal blooms and eutrophication.
Geographic Spread: Mortality stretched from Saldanha Bay to Gansbaai, with sardines most heavily affected.
Causes Investigated
Harmful Algal Blooms (HABs):
A bloom of Alexandrium catenella was confirmed offshore Saldanha.
HABs produce toxins and deplete oxygen, suffocating fish.
Pilchard Herpesvirus (PHV):
Viral genetic material was detected in dead and some healthy sardines.
Scientists caution virus alone is insufficient; environmental stress likely triggered mortality.
Oceanographic Stressors:
Enhanced upwelling, unusually cold nearshore water, and low oxygen in St Helena Bay preceded the event.
🔑 Why Sardines?
Sardines are filter feeders, highly exposed to HAB toxins and oxygen depletion.
Their physiology makes them more vulnerable than larger predatory fish.
PHV may have weakened sardines, but HAB-driven hypoxia explains the gasping behaviour before death.
⚠️ Risks & Implications
Ecological: Sardines are a keystone species — die-offs ripple through seabirds, seals, dolphins, and fisheries.
Public Health: Sewage-driven HABs can contaminate shellfish with toxins (e.g., paralytic shellfish poisoning).
Governance: Continued sewage pumping into marine protected areas violates environmental rights and fuels distrust in official narratives.
✅ Conclusion
The evidence points to Cape Town’s massive sewage discharges fueling HABs and oxygen depletion, which stressed sardines and triggered the die-off. PHV was present but likely acted as a secondary factor. The “gasping for air” symptom strongly supports the HAB/low oxygen explanation.