10/10/2026
βοΈ Good morning Fam!! October 10, 2026. 62 days until the December 11 funding deadline. 30 days until Open Season. Weekend roundup.
One unambiguously good number this week, one we are all waiting on, and a few that should worry anyone thinking about the future of this workforce. Here is your week.
π The retirement backlog dropped below 10,000. OPM's pending caseload fell under 10,000 in September for the first time in at least 14 years. Back in February it hit an all-time high above 65,000. FedSmith credits the fully digital process, a slowdown in new filings after last year's surge, and better staffing in Retirement Services. If you are retiring soon, file digitally, keep a clean package, and plan for interim pay anyway, but the odds are better than they have been in a long time.
π FedSmith β October 4, 2026
π The 2027 COLA lands Wednesday morning. BLS releases September inflation data at 8:30 a.m. on October 14, and Social Security is expected to announce the official COLA right after. Estimates cluster around 3.5 to 3.6 percent for CSRS retirees and Social Security, which would mean roughly 2.5 percent for eligible FERS annuitants. Last year a shutdown pushed the announcement to October 24. This year nothing is in the way.
π FedSmith / 24/7 Wall St. / NBC Chicago β October 1-9, 2026
π Young federal workers are disappearing faster than anyone else. Employees under 30 fell from 89,788 to 66,686 between May 2024 and May 2026, a drop of 25.7 percent, compared with 14.5 percent for the workforce overall. Workers 30 to 54 fell 12.3 percent and those 55 and up fell 16.5 percent. Montana and Wyoming were the only states that added any under-30 federal employees. With so many experienced people also leaving, that is a pipeline problem that does not fix itself in a year or two.
π Federal Hiring Data / OPM β October 7, 2026
π The courts are now split on union contracts. A Connecticut judge ordered the Bureau of Prisons to restore its AFGE contracts, finding the termination was likely "entirely pretextual," and the union is now asking that prison leaders be held in contempt after at least one facility refused to comply. Meanwhile, a First Circuit decision appears to have cleared the way for VA to let its AFGE contract expire, a sharp turn from the injunctions that had protected it all year. Patchwork rulings like this are usually how cases end up at the Supreme Court.
π FEDweek / Government Executive β October 6-8, 2026
π SSA is ending compressed schedules on November 16. No more 4/10s or 5/4/9s, and everyone moves to a standard five-day week. The agency says the change protects service to the public. AFGE filed a national grievance the same day, calling it an illegal repudiation of contract terms that have been in place for decades. If your compressed schedule is part of a reasonable accommodation, get that in writing now.
π Federal News Network / Government Executive β October 6-7, 2026
π A new telework bill would put a clock on agencies. Rep. Suhas Subramanyam's Federal Telework Protection Act would standardize the request process, require supervisors to weigh things like medical needs, caregiving, and commute time, and automatically grant a request if no decision comes within 90 days. It would also let employees appeal a denial. It is unlikely to move before the election, but the 90-day idea is worth watching.
π Federal News Network / FedSmith β October 7-8, 2026
π Health premiums are up 10.9 percent on average for 2027, the third straight year of double digits. The government's share rises 8.6 percent, so your share is climbing faster than theirs. PSHB enrollees will see 8.2 percent. Open Season runs November 9 through December 14, and every advocacy group is saying the same thing: shop, do not auto-renew.
π Government Executive / FEDweek β October 2, 2026
π And if you missed it Friday, the new RIF rules are fully in effect. Ratings now convert to points that decide who stays, bump and retreat are gone, and appeals go to OPM within 30 days with no grievance option. Pull your last three appraisals and fix anything wrong now, before a notice ever shows up.
π FEDweek β October 8, 2026
A mixed week. We read all of it so you do not have to.
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