10/08/2026
Minneapolis’s 2040 Plan opened up zoning. Housing still isn’t getting built.
The numbers from the Minneapolis Fed are stark:
📉 Multifamily permitting in Minneapolis fell 91.6% from its 2022 peak to 2025. Just 300 units were permitted in 2025, the fewest since 2008.
Developers point to costs that pile up on top of zoning:
Inclusionary zoning can leave a gap of at least $150,000 per affordable unit
First-floor retail mandates and height minimums add cost
Buying an existing building is often cheaper than building a new one
Regulatory uncertainty is scaring off capital
The same squeeze hits buyers statewide. Freddie Mac reports the 30-year mortgage rate at 7.40%, up from 6.30% a year ago. Using NAHB’s Priced-Out Calculator, a median-priced new home in Minnesota ($402,209) now requires roughly $132,500 to $138,000 in household income. That puts it out of reach for about two-thirds of Minnesota households.
Good intentions aren’t enough. If we want more affordable housing, we have to tackle the supply side: simplify regulations, ease cost burdens on builders, and create predictable conditions where housing can actually get built.
Read the full post: https://bamn.org/the-housing-math-problem-why-good-intentions-are-stalling-development-in-minneapolis-and-minnesota/
When the City of Minneapolis passed its celebrated 2040 Plan, it was hailed nationally as a groundbreaking, progressive blueprint to increase density and drive down housing costs. By eliminating single-family-only zoning, ending parking minimums, and opening the door to gentle density like duplexes....