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Pagosa Weather Your LOCAL source for weather in Pagosa Springs, Colorado. Arleen and Shawn are both members of the American Meteorological Society (AMS). Arleen & Shawn

Arleen and Shawn are the National Weather Service (NWS) Archuleta County Weather Ready Nation (WRN) Ambassadors. They were recognized by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) at the national level as 2022 WRN Ambassadors of Excellence. They are also the NWS Community Collaborative Rain, Hail and Snow (CoCoRaHS) Network coordinators for Archuleta County. Arleen & Shawn joined the Pagosa Weather team in March 2019! Both Arleen and Shawn were members of Air Force Weather in support of Air Force and Army Aviation forces; Arleen for 24 years, Shawn for 20 years. Their multiple deployments, including Iraq and Afghanistan were the highlight of their careers. Though conditions were harsh, their decisions had significant, life or death impacts. Another highlight was forecasting for the Rescue Coordination Center in Alaska. They provided pin-point forecasts for life-threatening situations such as climbing accidents on Denali and commercial fishing boat incidents in the Gulf of Alaska and the Bering Sea. They were stationed in Alaska, New York, Colorado, Washington, and Germany. In addition, Arleen was in Korea while Shawn was in Portugal. When they retired from the Air Force in 2011, they started a full time RV traveling odyssey to explore their own country for nine years. After decades of living a nomadic life, they chose spectacular Pagosa Springs to settle. The Pagosa Weather Board of Directors! President Arleen Prochazka, Vice President Udgar Parsons, Secretary Deborah McLain, Treasurer Jane Weitzel, Members at Large Debbie McAlister and Kenny Rogers. Their assistance is vital to our success. NOTE: Pagosa Weather was founded in 2016 by Todd Cook to express his interest and love for weather, and to give something back to the community. Mark Langford was a member of Pagosa Weather from November 2019 to January 2023. Thank you for following our page, and especially for your weather reports!

Sunday - 18 Oct 2026 - 4pmForecast highlights… *** Monday through Wednesday morning there will be more clouds and a few ...
10/18/2026

Sunday - 18 Oct 2026 - 4pm

Forecast highlights…

*** Monday through Wednesday morning there will be more clouds and a few scattered light showers. ***

*** Late Wednesday afternoon into Friday afternoon there will be periods of HEAVY RAIN. Flood prone areas are likely to have problems. ***

*** Expect winter driving conditions on Wolf Creek Pass Friday afternoon into Friday evening. ***

The *** LINK *** in comments has a thorough 7-day forecast which includes rain amounts for Pagosa and snow amounts for the mountains, plus a look at rain and snow for the next 15 days.

The next post will be on Tuesday.

- Shawn

It’s great to see our mountains coated in snow! – Pic taken 10/15/2026

Preliminary 26’/27′ Winter Outlook!Friday – 16 Oct 2026 – 5:00pmDetailed Winter Outlook will be out in November!We have ...
10/16/2026

Preliminary 26’/27′ Winter Outlook!

Friday – 16 Oct 2026 – 5:00pm

Detailed Winter Outlook will be out in November!

We have been busy behind the scenes analyzing our future weather and what is in store for us this winter. After TWO abysmal winters, this one has got to be better!

Josh Pike from the Pagosa Sun reached out to us last week and interviewed us about what our thoughts are for this upcoming winter. His article with our thoughts and those of Grand Junction National Weather Service meteorologist Matthew Aleska were on the front page of this week’s paper. It was good to see that Matthew’s analysis is in line with ours. And they are both positive! Pagosa Sun “Will the Super El Nino Bring Super Snow” article by Josh Pike. https://www.pagosasun.com/stories/will-the-super-el-nio-bring-super-snow,156068

For a detailed personal explanation of our winter forecast, attend our Winter Weather Wonder event Friday, November 13th, 5:30pm to 8:30pm, at the Pagosa Lakes Clubhouse 230 Port Avenue.

In the meantime, follow the link in the first comment to view the presentation I put together for Josh with some of my thoughts including my initial winter outlook for 26/27.

Looking forward to a winter of deep snows like the picture here from 2023!

- Arleen

Friday - 16 Oct 2026 - 3pmThe *** LINK *** in comments has precip totals for the month, San Juan River flow, a thorough ...
10/16/2026

Friday - 16 Oct 2026 - 3pm

The *** LINK *** in comments has precip totals for the month, San Juan River flow, a thorough 7-day forecast with rain and snow amounts, and a look at rain and snow amounts for the next 15 days.

Enjoy the sunshine! There won't be much next week.

Forecast highlights…

*** A HARD FREEZE is likely again Friday night. Temps will dip below freezing again Saturday night and then should stay above freezing most of next week. ***

*** Lots of sun and dry Friday and Saturday. ***

*** Sunday and Monday afternoons there will be more clouds and scattered showers. ***

*** Monday night into next Friday will be cloudy with valley rain and mountain snow. The heaviest precip is likely Wednesday evening into Friday morning. ***

The next post will be on Sunday.

- Shawn

The San Juan River in Pagosa Springs peaked at 2,900cfs Wednesday afternoon. It was about 1.6ft from “minor flood” stage. Flow dropped below 1,000cfs Friday morning. – Pic taken 10/14/2026 at noon

Thursday - 15 Oct 2026 - 7:20amThere is patchy fog with poor visibility in some areas this morning. Temps in the Pagosa ...
10/15/2026

Thursday - 15 Oct 2026 - 7:20am

There is patchy fog with poor visibility in some areas this morning. Temps in the Pagosa Springs area average 29 to 32. Area roads could be slick in spots this morning.

This fog will burn off a few hours after the sun starts warming us up. Then it will be a pretty fall day with fantastic views of golden aspens and snow-covered mountains!

- Shawn

Image is from Wolf Creek Ski Area cam Thursday, 15 Oct, at 7:20am.

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 3:45pmThe *** LINK *** in comments has precip amounts from the last 2 days, 7 day totals, San ...
10/14/2026

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 3:45pm

The *** LINK *** in comments has precip amounts from the last 2 days, 7 day totals, San Juan River flow, a thorough 7-day forecast and a look at rain and snow amounts for the next 15 days.

Forecast highlights…

*** The storm is about over! ***

*** Patchy fog and poor visibility is possible tonight. ***

*** A HARD FREEZE is likely Wednesday night and Thursday night. Temps will be below freezing each morning the rest of the week. ***

*** Lots of sun and mostly dry Thursday through Monday. ***

*** Another round of valley rain and mountain snow is possible late next Tuesday into Friday (20-23 Oct). ***

The next post will be on Friday.

- Shawn

The pups love the snow! This at 11,400ft, above Wolf Creek Pass. There was 4-6” of snow to play in. Roads were slick! – Pic taken 10/14/2026 around 10:30am.

10/14/2026

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 1:30pm

I have a deal with Pagosa Weather mascot, Tommy, to take him up to the snow as soon as it falls. He's a happy pup!

Wolf Creek Pass only had 2-3" of snow before noon on Wednesday, but it was slick and visibility was poor.

- Shawn

This short video was filmed at 11,300ft around 10:30am on 14 Oct. It's along the Lobo Overlook road, above Wolf Creek Pass. There was 6" of snow where we turned around because it was uncomfortably slick.

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 10:05amWolf Creek Pass current conditions.  Live report from Shawn: Snowpacked, icy , bad vis....
10/14/2026

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 10:05am

Wolf Creek Pass current conditions.
Live report from Shawn: Snowpacked, icy , bad vis. Traffic is moving at 20mph. Temp is 32F.

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 7:15amWe measured 1.46" of rain in the last 24 hours northwest of Pagosa Springs. I estimate t...
10/14/2026

Wednesday - 14 Oct 2026 - 7:15am

We measured 1.46" of rain in the last 24 hours northwest of Pagosa Springs. I estimate that Wolf Creek Ski Area got 1-2" of slushy snow at the base and 6-8" at the top. At 7:10am Wednesday, the pass still looks wet.

The San Juan River crested at 2,330cfs at 3:15am Wednesday and has come slightly down to 2,170cfs at 6am. The Piedra River near Arboles is at 1,930cfs and still rising.

We aren't done. Bands of heavy showers, small hail, gusty winds, and lightning will continue to move through the county into Wednesday afternoon. The pass will have periods of winter driving conditions.

- Shawn

Wolf Creek Ski Area cam at 7am Wednesday shows an inch or two of slushy snow at the base. I estimate that 6-8" of snow has fallen at the top.

Tuesday - 13 Oct 2026 - 3pm*** A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY has been issued for Wolf Creek Pass. 4-9" of snow is expected f...
10/13/2026

Tuesday - 13 Oct 2026 - 3pm

*** A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY has been issued for Wolf Creek Pass. 4-9" of snow is expected from midnight tonight to 6pm Wednesday. ***

As of Tuesday afternoon, temps along the pass are still above freezing and the road is wet. That will change tonight as colder air moves in. EXPECT POOR VISIBILITY AND SLICK ROADS.

- Shawn

Monday - 12 Oct 2026 - 3:30pmForecast highlights… *** Scattered showers and thunderstorms into Wednesday afternoon. ****...
10/12/2026

Monday - 12 Oct 2026 - 3:30pm

Forecast highlights…

*** Scattered showers and thunderstorms into Wednesday afternoon. ***

*** 3-6” of slushy snow is possible on Wolf Creek Pass Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect winter driving conditions. ***

*** A HARD FREEZE is likely Wednesday night. Temps will be below freezing each morning the rest of the week. ***

*** Lots of sun and mostly dry Thursday through next Monday. ***

*** Another round of valley rain and mountain snow is possible 20-22 Oct. ***

The *** LINK *** in comments has a thorough 7-day forecast including snow levels and snow amounts, and it has a look at rain and snow amounts for the next 15 days.

- Shawn

Spots of sun and moody clouds over Pagosa Peak – Pic taken 10/11/2026

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Pagosa Springs, CO
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