Heart of the Bluegrass Storm Intercept Team

03/14/2026

Many times, you have very little time during a severe weather event to act, let alone to try and make crucial decisions. Set aside time now to put a plan together and practice that plan ahead of the next severe weather event.

Having a plan is important in times of emergency and this includes building an emergency preparedness kit before a disaster. Be sure to include enough supplies to last at least three days and keep your items in easy to carry containers such as a plastic bin or duffel bag.

03/14/2026

On Sunday, winds will gust up to 45mph.
Sunday Night, a strong cold front will push through the region bringing a line of strong to severe storms. Main threat with these storms will be damaging winds. A spin-up tornado is also possible.
Monday morning, temperatures will rapidly fall behind the cold front. Rain showers will transition to snow showers and may bring a dusting of accumulating snow.

03/13/2026

Keep in mind this is Day 3 so this still has time to change and or shift

Day 3 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0232 PM CDT Fri Mar 13 2026

Valid 151200Z - 161200Z

...THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM THE LOWER
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY TO THE OHIO VALLEY....

...SUMMARY...
A widespread damaging wind event with some tornado threat is likely
on late Sunday afternoon through Sunday night from northeast Texas
to southwest Lower Michigan. The greatest wind threat appears to be
from northeast Arkansas/western Tennessee to southern Indiana during
the evening and overnight hours.

...Synopsis...
A 100+ knot mid-level jet will lead to rapid amplification as it
rounds the base of the mid-level trough across the Central Plains on
Sunday. As the associated surface cyclone moves northeastward
through the day, strong low-level moisture transport will occur
across the warm sector. This will result in weak to potentially
moderate instability ahead of the cold front Sunday afternoon. This
cold front will accelerate east-southeastward from the Midwest to
the Mid-Mississippi Valley during the afternoon and from Ohio to
western Georgia/eastern Alabama by Monday morning.

....Ohio Valley...
Despite dewpoints only increasing to the mid to upper 50s, a very
favorable kinematic environment will be in place with a 70 knot
low-level jet and nearly 125 knot mid-level jet by Monday morning.
Given this wind field, any instability, combined with the strong
frontal forcing, will be sufficient for a powerful QLCS during the
evening and overnight hours. This squall line will likely have
widespread 60+ mph wind gusts with some stronger 75+ mph wind gusts
possible.

In addition, very long hodographs with 200+ m2/s2 0-500m SRH will
support a threat for line-embedded tornadoes, some of which could be
strong. Additionally, the strong shear may also allow for some
embedded supercells, also depicted by the 12Z RRFS, which also may
lead to a locally greater tornado threat. Pre-frontal development
cannot be ruled out, especially from northeast Arkansas to southern
Illinois at the nose of the 500mb jet and the northern extent of the
richer low-level moisture. This scenario is more uncertain, but
could pose a greater tornado threat if it were to materialize.

...Lower Mississippi Valley to the Southeast...
The squall line will form during the afternoon, perhaps with some
initial supercell/hail threat across Arkansas and northeast Texas
and then move northeastward through the overnight period. The
strongest low-mid level wind field will remain north of this region,
however, greater instability will compensate and should maintain the
damaging squall line through the overnight hours. The greatest STP
values within the entire risk area are forecast (by the 12Z NAM)
between 03Z and 12Z from western Tennessee to central Mississippi
and northwest Alabama. Therefore, expect a QLCS tornado threat to
accompany the damaging wind threat through the overnight and early
morning period.

03/11/2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ THIS MORNING TO
7 PM EDT /6 PM CDT/ THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with widespread gusts of 30 to
40 mph expected. Scattered wind gusts of 40 to 45 mph are expected
within the advisory area.

* WHERE...Portions of south central Indiana and east central, north
central, northwest, and south central Kentucky.

* WHEN...From 8 AM EDT /7 AM CDT/ this morning to 7 PM EDT /6 PM
CDT/ this evening.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Winds this strong can make driving difficult, especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

Iowa State University, Iowa Environmental Mesonet

03/10/2026

It still looks like we will have a few waves of strong to severe storms as early as the pre-dawn hours on Wednesday, continuing during the day before winding down shortly after sunset. All severe hazards are possible with this system, though damaging straight-line winds should be the most prevalent threat. Spin-up tornadoes will also be possible, as well as isolated instances of large hail. While the ingredients are generally favorable for severe weather, there are several complicating factors which could work in our favor to reduce the severe threat, so be sure to stay tuned for the latest updates over the next few days.

03/05/2026

Good morning,

Expect showers and some thunderstorms to push through the area this morning. Not expecting much in the way of severe hazards, though repeated rounds of showers and storms will be capable of producing heavy rain on already saturated grounds. A Flood Watch remains in effect through this afternoon - US National Weather Service Louisville Kentucky

Stay weather aware - Darrin Smith, HOBSIT 101

03/05/2026

Wireless Emergency Alerts (WEA) are emergency messages sent by authorized government alerting authorities through your mobile carrier. Government partners include local and state public safety agencies, FEMA, the FCC, the Department of Homeland Security, and the National Weather Service. No signup is required! Alerts are sent automatically to WEA-capable phones during an emergency.

Below are infographics how to check and see if you have WEA alerts turned for IPHONE and ANDROID

https://www.weather.gov/wrn/wea