05/18/2026
This year, climate scientists predict a high chance of a Super El Niño. It’s likely to become one of the strongest El Niño events in recorded history, causing more extreme weather worldwide.
While El Niño is a natural phenomenon, climate change amplifies its impacts. The combination of human-induced global warming along with the Earth's natural warming cycle is a recipe for disaster.
With a Super El Niño, we will see more droughts, floods, fires, cyclones, threatened crops and extreme record temperatures. All within the next year.
But how does all this work?
Every 2-7 years, the climate fluctuates due to ENSO, or El Niño-Southern Oscillation, creating changes in the ocean and atmosphere. It is one of the most important and largest naturally occurring climate phenomena in the world.
ENSO occurs in the Pacific Ocean and atmosphere due to changes in the ocean's temperature and atmospheric winds. There are three natural phases that the Earth fluctuates between: El Niño, La Niña and the neutral phase.
El Niño is the warming phase.
In a neutral state, trade winds typically blow from East → West. These winds push warm water toward Asia, leaving cooler water near South America. But when El Niño occurs, we see warmer-than-average sea surface temperatures and weakened or reversed trade winds.
The effects of El Niño differ throughout regions. In the western Pacific, decreased rainfall brings drier conditions to places like Southeast Asia and Australia. Whereas the U.S. tends to experience wetter conditions and more intense storms.
El Niño won’t necessarily increase the number of weather extremes, and there is no way of knowing if other local or regional weather events will override El Niño’s effects. But, unlike other weather events, being able to predict an El Niño so far in advance can give us a better idea of where we need to prepare for extreme weather this year.
Previous strong El Niño’s occurred in 1982/83, 1997/98 and 2015/16. If this Godzilla El Niño happens as expected, it will likely be more powerful than them all. And put 2027 on track to be the hottest year yet.