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10/13/2026

🔔 New on the Global Observatory: CARICOM Has a Great-Power Problem

For more than five decades, Caribbean Community (CARICOM) member states have sought to turn their vulnerability as small states into collective strength. That effort is now under strain—perhaps like never before—as the second Trump administration prompts member states to take fundamentally different approaches to exercising their agency.

In this article, Dr. Nand C. Bardouille examines the bloc’s widening foreign policy divide and the three broad strategies behind it: accommodation, institutional balancing, and hedging. He argues that the region does not need a common position on every US policy but does need common principles governing how its members deal with major powers.

👉 Read the full analysis: https://theglobalobservatory.org/2026/10/caricom-great-power-problem/

10/09/2026

This week, as the peace operations community gathers in for the Challenges Annual Forum, IPI and its partners, including the “Network of Networks,” is hosting a series of conversations to share expertise and explore the future of UN peace operations.

👉🏻 Expert Briefing for the E10

Organized with the Network of Networks, this briefing brought together experts with current and incoming elected members of the UN Security Council. Discussions covered key challenges facing missions today: securing political support, strengthening cooperation with host governments, advancing the WPS agenda, and deepening partnerships with regional organizations.

A highlight was the exchange between outgoing and incoming members, as current E10 shared lessons from their time on the Council to ensure continuity.

👉🏻 Workshop on the Future of UN Peace Operations

IPI also co-hosted a full-day workshop with UN officials, member states, practitioners, and experts. Part of a cluster of events by the Network of Networks (the Challenges Forum, the Effectiveness of Peace Operations Network, the Global Alliance for Peace Operations, and the International Association of Peacekeeping Training Centres), it examined how missions can adapt to shifting geopolitical, financial, and operational realities.

Building on the Secretary-General's recent Review on the Future of All Forms of UN Peace Operations, participants focused on:

🔹 Preparing for an increasingly uncertain global environment
🔹 Developing more networked and flexible models
🔹 Navigating the opportunities and risks of emerging technologies and AI

Together, these conversations help turn lessons learned into practical approaches for the future of peace operations.

10/08/2026

🔔 New on the Global Observatory: Why the Security Council Is Unprepared for AI-Enabled Conflict

In September 2026, the Security Council heard from UN practitioners and from the scientists and executives building frontier AI systems. But three years of discussion have produced no Council product specifically on AI. The Council has more AI debate than AI infrastructure or expertise.

In this article, Thibault Camelli, Augustina Șiman, and Branka Panic examine the Council’s access to technical expertise and its ability to investigate AI-enabled operations, including the February 2026 US strike on a girls’ school in Minab, Iran. They argue the Council could begin with the instruments it already controls: mandate renewals, periodic reports, sanctions committees, and recurring briefings.

👉 Read the full analysis: https://theglobalobservatory.org/2026/10/security-council-ai/

10/05/2026

🔔 New on the Global Observatory: Design a Consultation Process for the People of Afghanistan

A broad-based political process is an essential element of a stable peace for Afghanistan. But while non-Taliban advocates, political movements, and civil society agree on many key principles of governance and human rights, they lack a comprehensive mechanism for creating targeted and prioritized demands.

In this article, Annie Pforzheimer and Mursal Kabir identify a representation gap in past negotiations. They argue that UNAMA should work with Afghan and international experts to design a framework for consultations among non-Taliban Afghans inside and outside the country, a first step achievable now within the mission’s existing budget and mandate. Achieving a durable solution in Afghanistan requires asking the Afghan people what they want.

👉 Read the full analysis: https://theglobalobservatory.org/2026/10/design-a-consultation-process-for-the-people-of-afghanistan/

10/02/2026

Swipe through for highlights from IPI’s week.

During High-Level Week, that meant conversations spanning the future of the UN and African priorities, Middle East security, Israel-Palestine, Women, Peace and Security, climate, and the future of international cooperation.

🔹 The future of the UN, through an African lens: African foreign ministers met with the five candidates for the next UN Secretary-General for a private dinner co-hosted by Egypt and Sierra Leone.

🔹 The Middle East, around one table: Foreign ministers, senior UN officials and experts came together for IPI’s annual Middle East Ministerial Dinner, creating space for frank exchanges on regional security, Gaza, Israel-Palestine and Iran-Gulf relations.

🔹 Women, Peace & Security, moving from defense to action: At IPI’s 9th Annual Women, Peace and Leadership Symposium, leaders and practitioners looked beyond defending the WPS agenda to what it takes to advance it in a tougher political environment, from building coalitions and grassroots movements to sustaining political leadership.

🔹 Rebuilding global trust: With Doha Forum , the Global Institute for Strategic Research and Stimson Center , we launched Redefining Global Trust, the 2026 Future of International Cooperation report, exploring how declining trust is reshaping diplomacy, security, economics and justice, and how cooperation can still work when countries disagree.

🔹Looking beyond the immediate, imagining a different future for Israel-Palestine: To close UNGA, IPI brought scholars and academics together with UN and diplomatic communities for deeper thinking about the political horizon for Israel-Palestine. Discussions on Jerusalem, the economy, security and transitional justice examined partnership and confederation as ways to move beyond the zero-sum thinking that has long shaped the conflict.

Our role is to bring the right people into the right conversations: bridging differences, sparking new ideas and building coalitions for change through multilateral diplomacy.

10/01/2026

🔔 New on the Global Observatory: The Transition of Aid Coordination in Nigeria Is a Major Test for the Humanitarian Community

In March 2025, Nigeria was designated one of eight countries for “humanitarian transition,” with international support for humanitarian coordination set to cease by the end of 2027. Yet crisis-level humanitarian needs are expected to continue—or even increase—for some time.

In this article, Peter Rice examines what lessons the Nigerian experience can offer humanitarian transitions in other contexts. As funding declines, he argues, international humanitarian organizations will likely have to treat transitions as a more pressing reality and prepare for drawing down their support in a more structured way.

👉 Read the full analysis: https://theglobalobservatory.org/2026/10/humanitarian-transition-nigeria/

09/29/2026

From the halls of the United Nations to bilateral conversations during High-Level Week, one question ran through IPI’s climate work in New York this week: how do we move from commitments on transitioning away from fossil fuels to implementation?

At UN Headquarters, IPI’s Jimena Leiva Roesch, IPI's Director of Global Initiatives and Head of Peace, Climate, and Sustainable Development, moderated a timely high-level discussion looking ahead to the Second International Conference on Transitioning Away from Fossil Fuels (TAFF-2).

Building on the momentum and outcomes of the inaugural conference in Santa Marta, Colombia, the conversation turned toward the next chapter: broadening participation in the process and mobilizing the political, financial, and technical partnerships needed to translate transition pathways into delivery.

That same focus carried into IPI President Zeid Ra’ad Al Hussein’s meeting with Dr. Maina Vakafua Talia, Tuvalu’s Minister for Home Affairs, Climate Change and Environment, during HLW.

As Tuvalu prepares to co-host TAFF-2 with Ireland in the Pacific in 2027, its leadership is helping keep the transition away from fossil fuels firmly on the international agenda and bringing the perspectives of climate-vulnerable countries to the center of the conversation.

IPI is proud to support Tuvalu and the Alliance of Small Island States (AOSIS) in their leadership on advancing a just, orderly, and equitable transition away from fossil fuels.

09/29/2026

🔔 New on the Global Observatory: From Symbolic to Transformative Recognition: A Pathway to Palestinian Sovereignty

In September 2025, a wave of countries recognized the State of Palestine. But while formal recognition keeps Palestine central to the global political agenda and carries moral weight, it has had little impact on Palestine’s ability to exercise sovereignty on the ground.

In this article, Yehezkel (Ezekiel) LEIN and Rami Dajani argue that the international community should adopt policies of transformative recognition, translating formal recognition into concrete measures that expand Palestinian sovereignty. They set out possible avenues in four areas: diplomatic relations; economic relations; territorial differentiation and settlement exclusion; and population registration, passports, and immigration policy.

👉Read the full analysis: https://theglobalobservatory.org/2026/09/transformative-recognition-of-palestine/

09/25/2026

IPI, positioned as a trusted venue for convening the highest levels of policymakers for frank and forward-looking dialogue, kickstarted UNGA discussions with our landmark Ministerial Dinner on the . This dinner brings together foreign ministers to discuss some of the most difficult and enduring crises affecting the region.

This year, we asked two distinguished guests for their perspectives on the deteriorating situation in the West Bank and the need for a new approach to addressing the unfolding crises in the Gulf.

09/25/2026

Some of the most important conversations during High-Level Week happen away from the public stages.

On Wednesday evening, we hosted our annual Ministerial Dinner on Africa and the Global Order, bringing African foreign ministers together with candidates for the next UN Secretary-General for a closed-door, off-the-record exchange.

The discussion explored how Africa would feature in the next Secretary-General’s vision and what African leaders expect from the UN’s next leader.

With the Secretary-General selection unfolding against a backdrop of geopolitical fragmentation, institutional reform, and mounting pressure on multilateralism, the dinner offered African leaders the opportunity to engage candidates directly on their visions and priorities, and to set out their own expectations for the UN's future leadership.

Hosted by IPI in partnership with the Governments of Egypt and Sierra Leone, the dinner builds on a format launched last year to foster candid, strategic dialogue among senior decision-makers during .

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