07/11/2026
⚠️ SEVERE THUNDERSTORM/CONVECTIVE WIND THREAT [TODAY]: Good morning, Alabama! Another opportunity for severe weather occurrence is being monitored; isolated to scattered strong/severe thunderstorms could occur across portions of northern, central, and perhaps south-central/southeastern Alabama primarily during the afternoon and evening hours. Per usual, damaging wind gusts (straight-line, non-tornadic) are the main hazard; a very limited risk of large hailstones could materialize across much of northern Alabama, as well. Maintain a general sense of weather-awareness if located anywhere throughout the aforementioned regions; environmental wind shear will remain quite unfavorable for any meaningful tornado threat. Pay close attention to Severe Thunderstorm Warnings; a corridor of greater convective wind potential could emerge by the late afternoon/evening right over far northern Alabama. That's all that you need to know.
..for those interested, I've attached my findings of the situation below...
📄 ABBREVIATED METEOROLOGICAL OVERVIEW/SYNOPSIS... a mid-level shortwave trough will translate eastward across the middle Mississippi River Valley-region throughout the course of the period; a remnant MCV/mid-level cyclonic circulation alongside convectively reinforced outflow (instigating low-level convergence) situated over the mid-south/lower Ohio Valley could prove to be pivotal catalysts with respect to convective initiation and upscaling growth that affects/traverses the Tennessee Valley. A thermodynamically-charged pre-convective environment characterized by warm surface dew points and steep environmental lapse rates will yield considerable buoyancy and tropospheric instability; weaker deep-layer flow and bulk shear magnitudes (w/ 0-6km vectors largely oriented parallel to the weak surface front/boundaries upstream) alongside the aforementioned degree of buoyancy and stimuli for upward vertical motion will force and sustain multiple conglomerations of convection (along prominent cold pools w/ multi-cellular/linear traits) capable of generating damaging surface-level outflows exceeding 60mph.
The threat of large hailstones has become far more uncertain; high PWATs alongside the increasing prospect of transient torrential downpour/training bands could result in organized flash flooding/excessive rainfall potential centered right over the Tennessee/lower Ohio Valley, including northern Alabama. This parameter space is not primed for tornadogenesis; separate diurnal/mesoscale influences could support the isolated occurrence of damaging downbursts and brief heavy rainfall across portions of central/low-middle into southeastern Alabama during the afternoon/evening...
📢 OFF-TOPIC MESSAGE: I apologize for the lack of posts/activity on this page. Again, I am college student studying atmospheric science/meteorology (I attend the University of Alabama in Huntsville/UAH), and have been rather busy these last few months. I am placing academics first, though will update the page when I can. Obviously, there are far better and more reliable sources of weather information than me, so I hope that my absence doesn't mean much in the grand scheme of things. My point is, do not be surprised with my inactivity on here. The summer term continues to run its course, so time/attention given to any convective threat that arises will be somewhat compromised, accordingly.
🫵 CONCLUSION/SUMMARY: Isolated to scattered severe thunderstorm occurrence is within the realm of possibility later this afternoon and evening across north and central into low-middle Alabama (the threat peaks over the northern fifth of the state; widely-isolated severe thunderstorms cannot be ruled out across portions of south-central into southeastern Alabama) with damaging winds and some potential for hail. Organized severe/convective potential elsewhere across the state is currently too low to outline. Thank you for reading; I will continue to keep you informed with regard to inclement weather potential. Remember, the weather is always changing! As always, I will have the comments flooded with updates/other useful information pertaining to inclement weather (whenever I get the chance). If you enjoy receiving these updates, ensure that this page is within your "favorites" so that these posts are prioritized in your feed!
–
.☈malert...☈obertswx...08:32am CDT 07/11/2026...1332 (UTC) SAT 07/11/2026..