05/27/2026
There have been numerous assertions in public forums and at the Board table about why enrollment and capture rates have declined in the Grosse Pointe Public School System. Rather than speculate, we chose to partner with Michigan Benchmark to analyze the data, understand the reasons for enrollment loss, and develop a plan to curb it. Low birth rates are part of the story, but a more thorough analysis shows the problem is far more complex than that.
We appreciate those of you who are taking the time to be informed, for reading the Michigan Benchmark/PfAE enrollment study, and for raising questions. This analysis should spark more questions, but let’s focus on questions that actually help us solve problems rather than just repeating talking points.
Our central findings are straightforward:
The district’s largest enrollment losses align with the K–4 reconfiguration and are most pronounced at the middle school level, not just during COVID. The district should reconsider the K-4 configuration to one that is more conducive to attracting and retaining students in our elementary schools.
Families who are more mobile and generally not economically disadvantaged have left at higher rates, often to private and parochial options, as well as to virtual schooling and home schooling. These losses are significant.
Enrollment has now stabilized, but our student body is more economically and academically complex. The problem is not that students have changed; it’s that district systems and expectations have not adapted to support them, leading more families to opt out of our system.
On a few specific points that have been raised:
Housing stock/peers
In a built‑out community like Grosse Pointe, housing stock is essentially flat. Comparing us to fast‑growth construction markets like Northville or Novi, where new subdivisions drive enrollment, is not apples‑to‑apples. Our losses are about configuration and family decisions, not hundreds of new rooftops.
Private school options and COVID
The report does not claim GPPSS is unique in seeing COVID‑era losses. It shows that here, the shape and timing of enrollment loss align with reconfiguration and the middle‑school experience, and are then amplified by COVID and private/parochial choices. Those conclusions come from years of districtwide enrollment data, not a small anecdotal sample. We have highlighted numerous times that GPPSS had more than 3 times the enrollment loss of comparable districts during COVID and less than half the percentage recovery in the years that followed.
Economically disadvantaged students
Calling out economic disadvantage is not blame; it’s describing a change in who we serve. The data show non‑ED families leaving at higher rates, and ED students are more likely to remain. Ignoring that shift would hide the increased support and system design required to meet students' needs. It is not bad to educate more economically disadvantaged students; it is a problem when the district fails to adjust programs, staffing, and expectations so that all students can meet high standards.
Trombly and “guaranteed” students
The report explicitly says that data can inform, but not guarantee, that 174 students would enroll at Trombly. What the data does show is that we are losing on the order of that many students annually through School of Choice and other exits, and that configuration and experience are key drivers. A more responsive configuration increases the chances of keeping and recapturing families; it does not promise a specific number. The loss from 5th to 6th grade demonstrates that families were willing to try 5th grade at the Middle school level, but that experience led many to leave for other options and not return until High School. We need to rethink our middle school community to make that experience more conducive to academic and social growth.
Finally, the data sources used are public and can be replicated by anyone. The debate about the study should focus on whether the numbers and logic are sound, not on who pulled the files or past disagreements over consultants, branding, or how a handful of people chose one adjective over another.
The study actually acknowledges and supports what many have been saying for years: we need to invest in the supports and systems required to meet the complex demands of different buildings within our own district if we want to maintain and improve the overall health of GPPSS for all of our students. We encourage you to read the report and not rely on others' subjective reports of the results.
Fifteen years of enrollment, demographic, and financial evidence for the Grosse Pointe Public School System — produced by Michigan Benchmark in collaboration with Pointers for Academic Excellence (PFAE).