02/06/2026
The first year after the regime’s fall reflected a dangerous phase in the nature of Israeli intervention in Syria. It can no longer be understood as a traditional extension of earlier “deterrence” patterns, but rather as part of a broader approach toward Syria in general and the shaping of its southern security sphere in particular. This approach goes beyond dealing with potential threats to influencing the conditions and environment that produce them, and to redefining the limits of action within that space. It does so through a combination of military and security-field tools, within a fragile transitional phase and a complex regional context following the decline of the “Iran axis” and Syria’s exit from its sphere of influence.
The study raises a central problem that goes beyond describing Israeli activity or measuring its intensity, seeking instead to analyze the transformation in its nature, function, and strategic implications. In this context, it adopts a methodology that combines quantitative monitoring with qualitative analysis by tracking 416 Israeli operations that targeted Syrian territory in 2025, and linking them, along with their political contexts, to a database and interactive field maps. This enables a layered reading of the patterns, objectives, and functions of the intervention, moving beyond strike counts toward understanding the Israeli approach and deconstructing its operational model as it manifested on the ground in the new Syria.
Strategy paper: Beyond the Axis: Israel's Approach in Syria from Threat Management to Reshaping the Security Environment
Authers: Sasha Al Alou - Seba Abdullatif - Muhsen ALMustafa
For More: https://bit.ly/43ETOnk
