11/02/2026
Warning Note:
By: Sebit Ernest, Director, Centre for Development and Reseach (CDR)
The current mediation arrangements and the initial coordination meetings with various armed and political opposition groups are increasingly raising serious concerns that must be addressed without delay.
There are clear signs of poor coordination and inconsistency in the way the process is being managed. What was communicated through official invitations and early assurances has not matched the reality of the meetings held. This contradiction is creating confusion, weakening confidence, and sending negative signals to key political actors.
More importantly, the absence of a clear and structured framework for these early engagements risks turning the process into an uncoordinated and selective exercise. If this continues, it will undermine the credibility of the mediation and may deepen divisions among opposition groups rather than promote unity and constructive dialogue.
The Government of South Sudan should urgently review its coordination mechanisms with the mediator, reassess the approach taken so far, and ensure that all political and armed movements are treated fairly and engaged through consistent procedures.
Each stage of the process must be guided by clear objectives, transparent steps, and measurable outcomes. Without immediate correction, there is a real risk of repeating past failures that weakened previous peace efforts and prolonged political instability.
This is a critical moment. A weak start will compromise the entire process.