Ilocos Center for Research, Empowerment and Development

Ilocos Center for Research, Empowerment and Development The ICRED is a non-government organization focused on empowering people and creating resilient communities in the Ilocos Region.

CDRN Statement on Red-tagging of its regional partner, TABI The Citizens' Disaster Response Network (CDRN), a network of...
20/12/2025

CDRN Statement on Red-tagging of its regional partner, TABI

The Citizens' Disaster Response Network (CDRN), a network of humanitarian and development agencies in the Philippines, condemns the blatant red-tagging, intimidation, and harassment of the staff members and a consultant of its regional partner, Tarabang para sa Bicol, Inc. (TABI)—a pioneer of community-based disaster management in the Bicol Region. These practices are a deliberate attempt to malign the organization and recklessly endanger the lives of its members.

A consolidated report dated November 30, 2025, documented the posting of malicious materials in Legazpi City, Sto. Domingo, Castilla, and Naga City, falsely associating Aubrey Versoza, Executive Director of TABI, and Dr. Rose Sambo, a TABI consultant, with groups they are not affiliated with. We are further alarmed that TABI staff member and CDRN Deputy Secretary General Sherra Buen has been subjected to continuous surveillance and suspicious visits. This escalation of intimidation and harassment poses a serious threat to their safety and security.

This situation is particularly alarming, as these attacks on TABI may be a prelude to more intense forms of human rights violations, following the pattern experienced by other civil society organizations in the country, where initial red-tagging often escalates into greater risks and threats.

Contrary to these malicious accusations, TABI, its staff, and its consultant are legitimate development workers who have long empowered vulnerable and disaster-affected communities in Bicol through sustained programs and services. These include localized capacity-building initiatives for disaster preparedness and response, community health programs, and efforts to advance climate resilience through agroecology—interventions that are increasingly necessary amid worsening climate risks. TABI’s long-running Bicol Farmers School has capacitated, particularly young farmers, in organic and science-based farming practices.

Vilifying TABI not only undermines its work but also threatens its capacity to serve marginalized communities. In recent years, CDRN member organizations across the country have endured various forms of attacks, including red-tagging, intimidation of staff, the freezing of bank accounts, and the filing of baseless charges—many of which have been perpetrated by state forces, despite these organizations being actively engaged in coordination and partnerships with local government units and national agencies. Since the 1980s, CDRN has served millions of Filipinos, and TABI has played a critical role in disaster preparedness and response in the Bicol Region, an area that frequently serves as the gateway of destructive typhoons.

Despite these attacks, TABI remains steadfast in its mandate to “Help Bicolanos Help Themselves,” particularly in responding to the impacts of Super Typhoon Uwan. CDRN demands immediate accountability for those responsible for the malicious posters, harassment, and intimidation, and calls for an end to all forms of red-tagging and attacks against humanitarian and development workers and organizations.

CDRN Statement on Red-tagging of its regional partner, TABI:

The Citizens' Disaster Response Network (CDRN), a network of humanitarian and development agencies in the Philippines, condemns the blatant red-tagging, intimidation, and harassment of the staff members and a consultant of its regional partner, Tarabang para sa Bicol, Inc. (TABI)—a pioneer of community-based disaster management in the Bicol Region. These practices are a deliberate attempt to malign the organization and recklessly endanger the lives of its members.

A consolidated report dated November 30, 2025, documented the posting of malicious materials in Legazpi City, Sto. Domingo, Castilla, and Naga City, falsely associating Aubrey Versoza, Executive Director of TABI, and Dr. Rose Sambo, a TABI consultant, with groups they are not affiliated with. We are further alarmed that TABI staff member and CDRN Deputy Secretary General Sherra Buen has been subjected to continuous surveillance and suspicious visits. This escalation of intimidation and harassment poses a serious threat to their safety and security.

This situation is particularly alarming, as these attacks on TABI may be a prelude to more intense forms of human rights violations, following the pattern experienced by other civil society organizations in the country, where initial red-tagging often escalates into greater risks and threats.

Contrary to these malicious accusations, TABI, its staff, and its consultant are legitimate development workers who have long empowered vulnerable and disaster-affected communities in Bicol through sustained programs and services. These include localized capacity-building initiatives for disaster preparedness and response, community health programs, and efforts to advance climate resilience through agroecology—interventions that are increasingly necessary amid worsening climate risks. TABI’s long-running Bicol Farmers School has capacitated, particularly young farmers, in organic and science-based farming practices.

Vilifying TABI not only undermines its work but also threatens its capacity to serve marginalized communities. In recent years, CDRN member organizations across the country have endured various forms of attacks, including red-tagging, intimidation of staff, the freezing of bank accounts, and the filing of baseless charges—many of which have been perpetrated by state forces, despite these organizations being actively engaged in coordination and partnerships with local government units and national agencies. Since the 1980s, CDRN has served millions of Filipinos, and TABI has played a critical role in disaster preparedness and response in the Bicol Region, an area that frequently serves as the gateway of destructive typhoons.

Despite these attacks, TABI remains steadfast in its mandate to “Help Bicolanos Help Themselves,” particularly in responding to the impacts of Super Typhoon Uwan. CDRN demands immediate accountability for those responsible for the malicious posters, harassment, and intimidation, and calls for an end to all forms of red-tagging and attacks against humanitarian and development workers and organizations.

ICRED Disaster and Emergencies Bulletin no. 2025-05Super Typhoon Uwan formed on November 7, just days after Typhoon Tino...
14/11/2025

ICRED Disaster and Emergencies Bulletin no. 2025-05

Super Typhoon Uwan formed on November 7, just days after Typhoon Tino quickly strengthened as it entered the Philippine Area of Responsibility. It moved west toward Luzon, bringing strong winds, heavy rain, and high storm signals across Bicol, Quezon, the Visayas, and later Northern Luzon.

By November 9–10, it became a Super Typhoon, making landfall in Aurora and affecting a wide area, including the Ilocos Region, which experienced powerful winds, over 200mm of rainfall in some places, and storm surges over 3 meters high. After crossing the Cordillera and La Union, Uwan weakened but continued to bring strong winds, rain, rough seas, and hazardous coastal conditions as it exited the country on November 11.

Hazardous conditions, including storm surges along the coastal areas of the Ilocos Region, prompted the temporary suspension of classes and disrupted livelihoods, especially farming, fishing, and small-craft navigation.

For the detailed situational report, you may access it here: https://tinyurl.com/ICRED-STy-Uwan-SitRep


09/11/2025
ICRED strongly urges a comprehensive and timely response to the possible disastrous impacts of Super Typhoon Uwan.As ICR...
09/11/2025

ICRED strongly urges a comprehensive and timely response to the possible disastrous impacts of Super Typhoon Uwan.

As ICRED monitors Super Typhoon , we urge the public and the government to take all necessary steps to prepare against the possible disastrous impacts of the super typhoon. As seen in the devastation caused by Typhoon Tino in Visayas, particularly in Cebu, we must take all necessary steps to provide timely and ample aid to the affected communities. With the scope and strength of the typhoon, we are all urged to prepare.

As per the latest DOST-PAGASA updates, Super Typhoon Uwan is traversing the Bicol Region and is set to be felt in Ilocos anytime today. Its center is located over the coastal waters of Catanduanes. By 8 PM on November 9, its center is estimated to be located near the western part of Central Luzon. It is estimated to traverse towards the southern portion of Northern Luzon and may exit in La Union and Pangasinan. Given the sheer size of Super Typhoon Uwan, the entire Ilocos Region is expected to experience heavy rains and strong winds. Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) no. 3 is hoisted in Ilocos Sur and La Union, while TCWS no. 2 is hoisted in Ilocos Norte in anticipation of Super Typhoon Uwan.

All communities in coastal areas and near rivers and tributaries should exercise extreme caution. Sea conditions are also worsening as waves in Ilocos may reach up to 9-12 meters high, especially in La Union and Ilocos Norte.

Heavy rains are also expected, especially in La Union. Currently, a red rainfall warning (more than 200mm of rain) is hoisted in La Union in the next 24 hours, while an orange rainfall warning (100-200mm of rain) is hoisted over Ilocos Sur and Ilocos Norte. Severe flooding across coastal areas, near rivers and tributaries, and low-lying areas is highly likely.

All are urged to prepare for the impacts of Super Typhoon Uwan. Government units and agencies in Ilocos, as they prepare to respond to the incoming Super Typhoon, should take a look back on their current programs and policies, as Super Typhoons and other devastating calamities are now frequent and becoming more intense. With climate change bringing more destructive weather events, the government should seriously look into the development projects that serve not as a deterrent but, in fact, aggravate the impacts of climate change on vulnerable communities. From the large-scale and destructive renewable energy projects to the plundering of resources through extractive mining and dredging, it only exacerbates the high vulnerability of poverty-stricken communities, as well as their capacity to face climate change impacts.

THIS SHOULD BE A WAKE-UP CALL FOR ALL. Only by changing the system to permit comprehensive and inclusive climate actions can we really attain climate justice.

25/09/2025

ON THE GROUND | Even after the onslaught of Super Typhoon , the island communities shared by Santa and Caoayan continue to face loss of livelihood and partial isolation due to strong waves coming from the sea and the strong current of water from the Lower Abra River. More or less 600 households from Brgy. Puro of Caoayan, and Brgy. Dammay and Brgy. Oribi of Santa were severely affected, especially those coming from poor fisherfolk and farming families in the area.

Ilocandia

22/09/2025

Updates on the ground | Heavy rains brought by Super Typhoon has resulted in overflowing of rivers and tributaries. Banaoang river in Ilocos Sur province has already risen to orange warning while other rivers have already overflowed including one in Sinait.

As communities in Ilocos and the rest of Northern Luzon brave such typhoon, vulnerable communities especially those with destructive development activities such as the dredging areas in Santa and Caoayan continue to face disastrous impacts of tropical cyclones. Here is the video of Brgy. Puro, Caoayan which are currently isolated due strong waves coming both from the seas and Banaoang River (Lower Abra River).

22/09/2025

Updates on the ground | Super Typhoon Nando continues to intensify bringing more rains and strong winds, especially in the northern tip of Ilocos Norte. Livelihoods since yesterday have already been restricted. Here is a video sent by a partner PO in Bangui, Ilocos Norte.


22/09/2025

Updates on the ground | Ilocos Norte communities are starting to experience strong winds and heavy rainfall as Super Typhoon Nando nears the northern tip of Ilocos Norte. This video was sent to ICRED by our local partner organization in Pagudpud, Ilocos Norte.


Based on recent DOST-PAGASA forecast, Super Typhoon Nando (Ragasa) continues to traverse the northern tip of Northern Lu...
22/09/2025

Based on recent DOST-PAGASA forecast, Super Typhoon Nando (Ragasa) continues to traverse the northern tip of Northern Luzon, bringing intense wind and heavy rainfall to communities of the Ilocos Region. Disaster Preparedness Committees (DPCs) and partner organization are now monitoring the situation closely.

As of writing, the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Bangui, Burgos, Adams, and Dumalneg) was put under Tropical Cyclone Wind Signal (TCWS) no. 4 while signal no. 3 was hoisted over the rest of the province. Ilocos Sur and the northern part of La Union is signal no. 2 while the rest of La Union is in signal no. 1. It is expected that the communities, according to their signal level, will experience intense winds especially up north while the whole region will experience heavy rainfall due to the intensified Southwest Monsoin.

Water levels in rivers and tributaries are now rapidly rising, strong waves are seen in the Ilocos coastlines, and several communities up north have already evacuated in anticipation of STy Nando.

We urge everyone to follow safety protocols and monitor this page and news outlet for further updates.

Photo 1: Current wind strength of STy Nando
Photo 2: Heavy rainfall forecast of STy Nando
Photo 3: Sea waves forecast of STy Nando


TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 23Super Typhoon   (RAGASA)Issued at 2:00 PM, 22 September 2025Valid for broadcast until th...
22/09/2025

TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 23
Super Typhoon (RAGASA)
Issued at 2:00 PM, 22 September 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.

LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS PERSIST OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF NORTHERN LUZON AS “NANDO” PASSES VERY CLOSE TO BABUYAN ISLAND.

Location of Center (1:00 PM)
The center of the eye of Super Typhoon NANDO was estimated based on all available data including those from Aparri Doppler Weather Radar over the coastal waters of Babuyan Is., Calayan, Cagayan (19.4°N, 121.9°E).

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 215 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 295 km/h, and central pressure of 910 hPa

Present Movement
Westward at 25 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 650 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No.5
Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 185 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Extreme threat to life and property
Luzon: Babuyan Islands

TCWS No.4
Wind threat:Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
Luzon: The southern portion of Batanes (Basco, Mahatao, Ivana, Uyugan, Sabtang), , the northern portionp of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Santa Praxedes, Claveria, Sanchez-Mira, Pamplona, Abulug, Ballesteros, Aparri, Buguey, Santa Teresita, Gonzaga, Camalaniugan), the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Burgos, Bangui, Dumalneg, Adams)

TCWS No.3
Wind threat:Storm-force winds
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
Luzon:
The rest of Batanes, the central portion of mainland Cagayan (Lal-Lo, Gattaran, Baggao, Alcala, Santo Niño, Lasam, Allacapan, Rizal, Amulung, Piat), the northern and central portions of Apayao (Flora, Santa Marcela, Pudtol, Luna, Calanasan, Kabugao), and the rest of Ilocos Norte

TCWS No.2
Wind threat:Gale-force winds
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
Luzon:
The rest of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, the rest of Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, the northern portion of Benguet (Mankayan, Buguias, Bakun, Kibungan), the northeastern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Diadi) , Ilocos Sur, and the northern portion of La Union (Sudipen, Bangar, Luna, Balaoan, Santol)

TCWS No.1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon:
Quirino, the rest of Nueva Vizcaya, the rest of Benguet, the rest of La Union, Pangasinan, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, and the northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar) including Polillo Islands

OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Refer to Weather Advisory No. 11 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone NANDO and the Southwest Monsoon.

Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

• Extreme impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 5.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The Southwest Monsoon and the trough of NANDO will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):

• Today: Metro Manila, Central Luzon (areas not under wind signal), CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao.
• Tomorrow (23 September): Metro Manila, Central Luzon (areas not under wind signal), CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, and Dinagat Islands.
• Wednesday (24 September): Luzon and Panay Island.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the seaboard of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 AM today.

24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough, high, or very high seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 14.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands.
• Up to 12.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte.
• Up to 10.0 m: The northern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte.
• Up to 8.0 m: The northwestern seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
• Up to 5.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the seaboard of Isabela, and the western seaboard of Pangasinan.
• Up to 5.0 m: The northeastern seaboard of Aurora; the northwestern seaboard of La Union.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales; the remaining seaboards of Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands.
• Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboards of La Union and Pangasinan; the seaboards of Bataan, Lubang Island, and Camarines Norte; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro; the western seaboard of Calamian Islands.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.

Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the remaining seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar and Eastern Samar; the seaboards of Kalayaan Islands and Palawan; the remaining seaboards of Calamian Islands and Occidental Mindoro; the southern seaboard of Quezon and Marinduque; the northern seaboard of Romblon; the northwestern seaboard of Burias Island.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

Coastal Inundation
There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m within the next 24 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 10 issued at 2:00 PM today for the details.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• The center of the eye of NANDO is currently passing very close to Babuyan Island. It will pass very close or make landfall over Calayan Island between 2:00 PM and 5:00 PM today. On the forecast track, NANDO may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility tomorrow (23 September) morning.
• NANDO may maintain its strength or further intensify before its close approach to Babuyan Islands.

Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.


DOST-PAGASA

Updates from PAGASA: TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 22Super Typhoon   (RAGASA)Issued at 11:00 AM, 22 September 2025Valid ...
22/09/2025

Updates from PAGASA: TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 22
Super Typhoon (RAGASA)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 22 September 2025
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 2:00 PM today.

LIFE-THREATENING CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OVER THE NORTHERN PORTION OF NORTHERN LUZON AS “NANDO” APPROACHES THE BABUYAN ISLANDS.

Location of Center (10:00 AM)
The center of the eye of Super Typhoon NANDO was estimated based on all available data including those from Aparri Doppler Weather Radar at 110 km East of Calayan, Cagayan (19.4°N, 122.5°E).

Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 215 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 265 km/h, and central pressure of 910 hPa

Present Movement
Westward at 20 km/h

Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to
600 km from the center

TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT

TCWS No.5
Wind threat: Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 185 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Extreme threat to life and property
Luzon: Babuyan Islands

TCWS No.4
Wind threat:Typhoon-force winds
Warning lead time: 12 hours
Range of wind speeds: 118 to 184 km/h (Beaufort 12)
Potential impacts of winds: Significant to severe threat to life and property
Luzon: The southern portion of Batanes (Basco, Mahatao, Ivana, Uyugan, Sabtang) , the northern of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana, Santa Praxedes, Claveria, Sanchez-Mira, Pamplona, Abulug, Ballesteros, Aparri, Buguey, Santa Teresita, Gonzaga, Camalaniugan), the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Burgos, Bangui, Dumalneg, Adams)

TCWS No.3
Wind threat:Storm-force winds
Warning lead time: 18 hours
Range of wind speeds: 89 to 117 km/h (Beaufort 10 to 11)
Potential impacts of winds: Moderate to significant threat to life and property
Luzon:
The rest of Batanes, the central portion of mainland Cagayan (Lal-Lo, Gattaran, Baggao, Alcala, Santo Niño, Lasam, Allacapan, Rizal, Amulung, Piat), the northern and central portions of Apayao (Flora, Santa Marcela, Pudtol, Luna, Calanasan, Kabugao), and the rest of Ilocos Norte

TCWS No.2
Wind threat:Gale-force winds
Warning lead time: 24 hours
Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
Luzon:
The rest of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, the rest of Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, the northern portion of Benguet (Mankayan, Buguias, Bakun, Kibungan), the northeastern portion of Nueva Vizcaya (Diadi) , Ilocos Sur, and the northern portion of La Union (Sudipen, Bangar, Luna, Balaoan, Santol)

TCWS No.1
Wind threat: Strong winds
Warning lead time: 36 hours
Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon:
Quirino, the rest of Nueva Vizcaya, the rest of Benguet, the rest of La Union, Pangasinan, Aurora, Nueva Ecija, Bulacan, Tarlac, Pampanga, Zambales, and the northern portion of Quezon (General Nakar) including Polillo Islands

OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook

Refer to Weather Advisory No. 11 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to Tropical Cyclone NANDO and the Southwest Monsoon.

Severe Winds

The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.

• Extreme impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 5.
• Significant to severe impacts from typhoon-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 4.
• Moderate to significant impacts from storm-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No 3.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.

The Southwest Monsoon and the trough of NANDO will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):

• Today: Metro Manila, Central Luzon (areas not under wind signal), CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, and Mindanao.
• Tomorrow (23 September): Metro Manila, Central Luzon (areas not under wind signal), CALABARZON, Bicol Region, MIMAROPA, Visayas, Zamboanga Peninsula, and Dinagat Islands.
• Wednesday (24 September): Luzon and Panay Island.

HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the seaboard of Northern Luzon and the eastern seaboard of Central Luzon. Refer to Gale Warning No. 4 issued at 5:00 AM today.
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough, high, or very high seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 14.0 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands.
• Up to 12.0 m: The northern seaboard of Ilocos Norte.
• Up to 10.0 m: The northern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte.
• Up to 8.0 m: The northwestern seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the remaining seaboard of mainland Cagayan.
• Up to 5.5 m: The remaining seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the seaboard of Isabela, and the western seaboard of Pangasinan.
• Up to 5.0 m: The northeastern seaboard of Aurora; the northwestern seaboard of La Union.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 4.0 m: The seaboard of Zambales; the remaining seaboards of Aurora; the northern and eastern seaboard of Polillo Islands.
• Up to 3.5 m: The remaining seaboards of La Union and Pangasinan; the seaboards of Bataan, Lubang Island, and Camarines Norte; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northwestern seaboard of Occidental Mindoro; the western seaboard of Calamian Islands.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.

Up to moderate seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The eastern seaboards of Albay and Sorsogon; the remaining seaboard of Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Northern Samar and Eastern Samar; the seaboards of Kalayaan Islands and Palawan; the remaining seaboards of Calamian Islands and Occidental Mindoro; the southern seaboard of Quezon and Marinduque; the northern seaboard of Romblon; the northwestern seaboard of Burias Island.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly-sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.

Coastal Inundation
There is a high risk of life-threatening storm surge with peak heights exceeding 3.0 m within the next 24 hours over the low-lying or exposed coastal localities of Batanes, Cagayan including Babuyan Islands, Ilocos Norte, and Ilocos Sur. Refer to Storm Surge Warning No. 9 issued at 8:00 AM today for the details.

TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• NANDO will continue moving westward towards the Babuyan Islands. On the forecast track, the center of NANDO may pass close or may make landfall over Babuyan Islands between noon and early afternoon today. It may exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility by tomorrow (23 September) morning.
• NANDO may maintain its strength or further intensify before its close approach to Babuyan Islands.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.

The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.

DOST-PAGASA

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