NZ Institute of Economic Research Inc (NZIER)

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NZ Institute of Economic Research Inc (NZIER) Our Auckland office is located at 70 Shortland St, Ground Floor
(1)

NZIER is an independent, non-profit organisation that uses applied economic analysis to provide business and policy advice to public and private sector clients.

15/10/2026

The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion shows a jump in business confidence in the September quarter, despite firms' domestic trading activity remaining fairly soft.

Christina Leung, Deputy CE (Auckland) and Head of Membership Services at NZIER, outlines the key points from the survey, noting that whilst firms experienced weak demand in the September quarter, they are expecting better outcomes in the next quarter.

We're excited to introduce Megan Fitzpatrick, Senior Economist at NZIER, as our first panellist for the 2026 Summer Read...
14/10/2026

We're excited to introduce Megan Fitzpatrick, Senior Economist at NZIER, as our first panellist for the 2026 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister.

Hear which book she's selected and why she believes it deserves a place on this year's list at the event on the 25th of November.

Register to attend in person: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/nzier-2026-summer-reading-list-for-the-prime-minister-tickets-1999312645944?aff=oddtdtcreator

Register for the livestream: https://www.eventbrite.com/e/livestream-of-the-nzier-2026-summer-reading-list-for-the-prime-minister-tickets-1999312858580?aff=oddtdtcreator

New Zealand’s fragile economic recovery and the challenges facing the next Government, NZIER Insight 132New Zealand’s ec...
13/10/2026

New Zealand’s fragile economic recovery and the challenges facing the next Government, NZIER Insight 132

New Zealand’s economy continues to recover, but the recovery remains fragile and uneven. Our latest Insight looks at the difficult policy trade-offs facing the next Government, with fiscal choices constrained by the inflation outlook and the Government’s fiscal position, while productivity and investment remain important for long-term growth.

https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01r9K20

Looking for your next great summer read?Join NZIER and BusinessDesk for the 2026 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minis...
13/10/2026

Looking for your next great summer read?

Join NZIER and BusinessDesk for the 2026 Summer Reading List for the Prime Minister.

Whether you're joining us at Unity Books or tuning in online, hear from this year's expert panel as they discuss the books they've chosen and the ideas behind their recommendations.

When: Wednesday, 25 November, 6.00 pm
Where: Unity Books, Wilis St Wellington, or join via livestream

Register to attend in person:
https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01r51W0

Register for the livestream:
https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01r51v0

Locked out in a perfect storm? What’s behind the youth employment crisis?NZIER Insight 131New Zealand’s youth unemployme...
08/10/2026

Locked out in a perfect storm? What’s behind the youth employment crisis?
NZIER Insight 131

New Zealand’s youth unemployment and underutilisation rates have climbed to levels last seen around the Global Financial Crisis, but economic recovery alone may not solve the problem. In our latest NZIER Public Good Insight, Sarah Hogan and Daniel Hamill describe how a complex set of cyclical and structural issues may be reducing young people's work opportunities – a perfect storm of a sluggish economic recovery, business uncertainty, unhelpful policy responses, pre-existing structural problems, accelerating technological change, AI uncertainty, and increased reliance on temporary migrant workers in young people’s traditional gateway industries. Young people in the labour market need stronger support, and New Zealand needs a workforce strategy fit for the future.

https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01qFyB0

The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion showed a continued recovery in business confidence in the Septembe...
05/10/2026

The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion showed a continued recovery in business confidence in the September quarter. A net 40 percent of firms expect a better general economic outlook over the coming months on a seasonally adjusted basis. This was a marked increase from the net 14 percent feeling positive in the previous quarter. However, when it comes to firms’ own domestic trading activity, a net 1 percent reported a decline in activity over the September quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis. https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01q9DP0

China has been one of New Zealand’s great economic opportunities, but China’s growth is slowing, and there may not be an...
23/09/2026

China has been one of New Zealand’s great economic opportunities, but China’s growth is slowing, and there may not be another China waiting in the wings. Our latest Public Good Insight argues that New Zealand should protect and deepen this successful relationship while building new opportunities elsewhere. The next generation of trade growth is likely to be built market by market, barrier by barrier and opportunity by opportunity.

https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01nTqV0

The rising cost of New Zealand Superannuation is a significant long-term fiscal challenges facing New Zealand. The Gover...
15/09/2026

The rising cost of New Zealand Superannuation is a significant long-term fiscal challenges facing New Zealand. The Government will spend around $26.5 billion on NZ Super this year, rising to $31.2 billion by 2030 as New Zealand’s population ages. And that cost continues to rise into the future as New Zealand’s population ages.

Ahead of the election, Chartered Accountants Australia and New Zealand (CA ANZ) has released six policy priorities aimed at strengthening New Zealand’s long-term fiscal sustainability and building a more productive and resilient economy. One of its recommendations is a structured, cross-party, evidence-based review of retirement income settings to address the future affordability of NZ Super. As part of this work, CA ANZ commissioned NZIER to examine an alternative to simply raising the age of eligibility.

NZIER economists Philippa Miller Moore and Nam Bui modelled options that would allow New Zealanders to voluntarily defer receiving NZ Super in return for higher payments when they do start receiving it. Our modelling shows that, depending on how such a scheme is designed, voluntary deferral could reduce the fiscal cost of NZ Super while giving New Zealanders greater choice over when they receive it.

It’s a good example of how economic modelling can help move an important policy debate from identifying the problem to assessing practical solutions.

Read CA ANZ’s media release and access the NZIER report here:
https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01m-rq0

The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts point to a broadly unchanged GDP growth outlook, with a forecast annual average GDP...
14/09/2026

The latest NZIER Consensus Forecasts point to a broadly unchanged GDP growth outlook, with a forecast annual average GDP growth of 1.7 percent for the year ending March 2027, bef

Cautious recovery resumes as fuel prices ease, Quarterly Predictions – September 2026The New Zealand economy is showing ...
01/09/2026

Cautious recovery resumes as fuel prices ease, Quarterly Predictions – September 2026

The New Zealand economy is showing tentative signs of a gradual recovery as global fuel prices ease from the highs reached earlier this year. The partial reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, increased use of other export routes in the Middle East, and increased supply from other countries have reduced pressure on global crude oil prices, helping stabilise financial markets and ease some immediate inflation pressures from the fuel shock.

Media release: https://ap1.hubs.ly/H01l0C80

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Level 13 Public Trust Tower, 22-28 Willeston Street
Wellington
6011

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