Malaysian Meteorological Organisation

16/11/2025

16/11/2025

⛵️🌊 WARNING OF STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS ⛵️🌊

FOR SHIPPING

1) WARNING OF STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS (SECOND CATEGORY)

Strong northeasterly winds of 50-60 km/h with wave height up to 4.5 metres are expected over the waters of northeastern part of Condore • northwestern part of Reef North within the period of Wednesday, 19 November 2025 until Sunday, 23 November 2025.

This condition of strong winds and rough seas is dangerous to all shipping and coastal activities including fishing and ferry services.

2) WARNING OF STRONG WINDS AND ROUGH SEAS (FIRST CATEGORY)

Strong northeasterly winds of 40-50 km/h with wave height up to 3.5 metres are expected over the waters of Samui • Condore • northeastern and southwestern parts of Reef North • Layang-Layang • Palawan within the period of Wednesday, 19 November 2025 until Sunday, 23 November 2025.

This condition of strong winds and rough seas is dangerous to small crafts, recreational sea activities and water sports.

Released on: 5:20 pm, 16 November 2025

16/11/2025

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER FORECAST

Analysis of the latest weather forecast models shows that the humid weather conditions currently affecting several areas in the country are expected to continue until 22 November 2025.

Wind convergence is expected to occur in the east and north of Peninsular Malaysia which has the potential to cause thunderstorms with heavy rain and strong winds starting from 19 to 22 November 2025.

The public is advised to always refer to the website www.met.gov.my and the official social media of MET Malaysia as well as download the myCuaca application for the latest and most accurate information.

Director General
Malaysian Meteorological Department (MET Malaysia)
Ministry of Natural Resources and Environmental Sustainability

Release time: 1.30 pm
Date: 16 November 2025

16/11/2025

Thunderstorm Warning Until 6.00pm.

AMARAN RIBUT PETIR. ⛈⛈⛈

Ribut petir, hujan lebat dan angin kencang dijangka di negeri Kedah (Baling, Kulim dan Bandar Baharu) • Pulau Pinang • Perak (Kerian, Larut, Matang Dan Selama, Kuala Kangsar, Manjung, Kinta, Perak Tengah, Kampar, Bagan Datuk, Hilir Perak, Batang Padang dan Muallim) • Selangor • WP Kuala Lumpur • WP Putrajaya • Negeri Sembilan (Jelebu, Seremban, Port Dickson, Kuala Pilah, Rembau dan Tampin) • Melaka • Johor (Tangkak, Muar, Batu Pahat, Kluang, Mersing, Pontian, Kulai, Kota Tinggi dan Johor Bahru) • Sarawak: Kuching, Betong, Sarikei (Pakan), Mukah (Daro, Matu, Dalat dan Mukah), Miri (Telang Usan dan Marudi) dan Limbang • Sabah: Pedalaman (Sipitang, Tenom, Nabawan dan Keningau), Tawau (Tawau dan Lahad Datu) dan Sandakan (Tongod, Kinabatangan dan Sandakan) sehingga 6:00 petang; Ahad, 16 November 2025.

⚡️⚡️⚡️Amaran dikeluarkan apabila terdapat tanda-tanda menunjukkan ribut petir dengan intensiti hujan melebihi 20 mm/jam yang hampir ATAU dijangka berlaku melebihi sejam. Amaran ribut petir adalah amaran jangka pendek yang sah dalam tempoh tidak melebihi enam jam untuk satu-satu keluaran.

Dikeluarkan pada: 3:00 petang, 16 November 2025

14/11/2025

PAGASA TROPICAL CYCLONE THREAT POTENTIAL

Issued November 14, 2025

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Sources: PAGASA, CWB, Pacific Typhoon Season

14/11/2025

Ikuti perkembangan semasa yang sahih di semua pautan media sosial rasmi Berita RTM: Portal Rasmi Berita RTMhttps://berita.rtm.gov.myTwitter Rasmi Berita RTMh...

13/11/2025

EL NIÑO/SOUTHERN OSCILLATION (ENSO) DIAGNOSTIC DISCUSSION

issued by

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS
13 November 2025

ENSO Alert System Status: La Niña Advisory

Synopsis: La Niña is favored to continue into the Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-March 2026 (61% chance).

La Niña continued over the past month, as indicated by the strengthening of below-average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean [Fig. 1]. The latest weekly Niño indices were between -0.5°C and -0.7°C, with the exception of the easternmost Niño-1+2 index at -0.2°C [Fig. 2]. Negative subsurface temperature anomalies persisted (averaged from 180°-100°W; [Fig. 3]), with below-average temperatures prevailing from the surface to 200m depth in the eastern half of the equatorial Pacific [Fig. 4]. The atmosphere continued to reflect La Niña, with low-level easterly wind anomalies and upper-level westerly wind anomalies observed across most of the equatorial Pacific Ocean. Enhanced convection persisted over Indonesia and was weakly suppressed near the Date Line [Fig. 5]. Both the traditional and equatorial Southern Oscillation indices were positive. Collectively, the coupled ocean-atmosphere system reflected La Niña.

The IRI multi-model predictions favor La Niña to continue through December-February (DJF) 2025-26 [Fig. 6]. While also considering predictions from the North American Multi-Model Ensemble, the ENSO team believes uncertainty for the DJF season is high with La Niña (51% chance) slightly favored over ENSO-neutral (48% chance). La Niña is expected to remain weak (3-month average Niño-3.4 index value at or between -0.5°C and -0.9°C). A weak La Niña would be less likely to result in conventional winter impacts, though predictable signals could still influence the forecast guidance (e.g., CPC's seasonal outlooks). In summary, La Niña is favored to continue into the Northern Hemisphere winter, with a transition to ENSO-neutral most likely in January-March 2026 (61% chance; [Fig. 7]).

This discussion is a consolidated effort of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), NOAA's National Weather Service, and their funded institutions. Oceanic and atmospheric conditions are updated weekly on the Climate Prediction Center web site (El Niño/La Niña Current Conditions and Expert Discussions). A probabilistic strength forecast is available here. The next ENSO Diagnostics Discussion is scheduled for 11 December 2025.

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/MJO/enso.shtml

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/strengths/index.php

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/enso-alert-readme.shtml

Source: CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER/NCEP/NWS

13/11/2025

Tropical Weather Outlook: 13 November 2025 (14 Nov local time)

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

Non-tropical marine warnings (south of 30°N):

• Gale warning: Hong Kong/Macau offshore waters, Taiwan Strait, Taiwan offshore waters, East China Sea W of Ryukyu Islands. Strong NE monsoon flow and Post-Tropical Cyclone Fung-wong located near 27°N 129°E. NE winds 35 to 40 kts expected next 24 hours, easing below 30 kts by 1200 UTC 14 November.

• Gale warning: Ogasawara Islands area. Low 1008 hPa near 31°N 142°E moving ENE at 40 kts, expected 997 hPa near 34°N 161°E by 1200 UTC 14 November. SW winds 35 to 40 kts expected next 24 hours, moving out of area by 1200 UTC 14 November.

Source: Pacific Typhoon Season

13/11/2025

13/11/2025

Thunderstorm Warning Until 9.00pm.

13/11/2025