21/05/2025
𝐌𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐚’𝐬 𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐨𝐩𝐮𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐝𝐞𝐜𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐞 𝐛𝐲 𝐚𝐥𝐦𝐨𝐬𝐭 𝐨𝐧𝐞-𝐬𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐡 𝐛𝐲 𝟐𝟎𝟓𝟎
The native Maltese population is expected to drop by 14% by 2050 and 32% by 2075 if current demographic trends persist, a Central Bank of Malta report suggests
The report, authored by Senior Economist Lynn Cumbo, projects that the number of Maltese nationals will decline from around 405,000 in 2023 to 347,000 by 2050, and to 275,000 by 2075. At the same time, foreign nationals, who already make up almost a third of Malta’s workforce, are expected to account for nearly half (46%) of the working-age population by 2035.
In 2023, Malta’s total population stood at around 563,000, of which approximately 405,000 were Maltese nationals. Foreign nationals made up 28% of the population and accounted for 31.8% of the working-age population (aged 15–74), up from just 2.5% in 2000.
𝐓𝐰𝐨 𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫 𝐚𝐥𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐬𝐜𝐞𝐧𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐨𝐬 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐥𝐬𝐨 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭.
Scenario 1 maintains fertility rates at 2023 levels (1.22 for Maltese women), resulting in a sharper decline to 309,000 by 2050 and approximately 250,000 by 2075.
Scenario 2 assumes that no Maltese citizens return to the country in future years, accelerating the decline to 305,000 by 2050 and also to approximately 250,000 by 2075.