27/08/2026
How do we make political violence harder to organise, finance and deploy?
Communities are already dealing with significant levels of insecurity.
CHRIPS’ baseline research found that 55.4% of respondents in Mathare and 47.3% in Kayole had experienced theft or robbery in the previous 12 months. In Mathare, 28.9% reported threats or intimidation, compared with 19.1% in Kayole.
The events reported in Homa Bay County on 16 August 2026, including attacks, arrests, road blockages and clashes—offer another warning as Kenya approaches the 2027 elections. News reports have pointed to the mobilisation of young people for attacks in exchange for payment.
CHRIPS’ research, based on 800 baseline respondents and qualitative community evidence from Mathare and Kayole, identifies political brokerage as a key link connecting vulnerability, recruitment and the mobilisation of young people for political violence.
This matters for 2027.
If the response focuses only on the young people who appear at the scene, it addresses the visible end of the chain while leaving the networks behind them intact. Prevention must move upstream: understand the brokerage networks, identify those who organise and finance violence, and strengthen accountability for politically organised violence.
The question is not only who carries out political violence. It is also who recruits, pays, organises and enables it.
This data is part of a community safety and security research project undertaken in Mathare and Kayole by the Centre for Human Rights and Policy Studies in partnership with Kiamaiko Community Social Justice , AfricanWomen’sOrchestra, and Kayole Community Justice Center.
Open Society FoundationsICJ Kenya National Police ServiceNational Crime Research Centre- NCRCNational Counter-Terrorism Committee