05/10/2026
BRAZIL ELECTION 2026 No Final Winner Yet: Brazil Heads to a Historic Lula–Flávio Bolsonaro Runoff Brasília, Brazil — 5 October 2026 By Purnima Anand, President, BRICS International Forum & International Election Observer Brazil’s presidential election has entered a second round after neither of the two leading candidates secured more than 50% of the valid vote in the first round held on 4 October. According to Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE), Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) finished first with 47.03% of valid votes, while incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva of the Workers’ Party (PT) finished second with 45.16%. The two candidates will now face each other in the second round on 25 October 2026. A Close First Round Flávio Bolsonaro received approximately 56.1 million votes, compared with approximately 53.9 million for Lula. Because neither candidate crossed the required majority of valid votes, Brazilian electoral rules require a runoff between the two leading candidates. The result was notable because several pre-election polls had shown Lula ahead or in a very close contest. Flávio Bolsonaro's first-round performance therefore exceeded several polling expectations. Bolsonaro Family Returns to the Centre of Brazil's Presidential Race Flávio Bolsonaro, 45, is a senator from Rio de Janeiro and the eldest son of former President Jair Bolsonaro. The former president was convicted in connection with a plot to overturn the 2022 election result and received a sentence of more than 27 years. During the 2026 campaign, Jair Bolsonaro backed his son Flávio as the candidate representing the Bolsonaro political movement. The second round therefore places two contrasting political forces directly against each other: Lula's Workers' Party and the Bolsonaro-aligned PL. What Happens on 25 October? The presidential contest is now a direct Lula vs. Flávio Bolsonaro race. The first-round result does not determine the presidency. The winner will be decided by the votes cast in the second round on 25 October 2026. TSE has officially confirmed the date and the two candidates competing for the presidency. The result also means that the votes received by the other first-round presidential candidates will become an important part of the political discussion during the three-week campaign. Congress and the Wider Political Picture The presidential contest is only one part of Brazil's 2026 general election. Brazilians also voted for members of Congress, governors and state-level representatives. Early results indicate a significant performance by right-wing and Bolsonaroaligned candidates in several congressional contests, but the exact composition of Congress should be reported from the final official results rather than described simply as a “landslide” without qualification. The Bigger Question Brazil now enters three weeks of intensified political campaigning before the final vote. The central question is no longer who leads the first round—it is which candidate can build the majority required to win the second round on 25 October. For now, Brazil has no elected president from this first round. The presidential race remains open.