25/08/2026
Iran’s exit from Syria could create a new threat.
Damascus is increasingly disrupting Iranian weapons routes to Hizbullah and distancing itself from Tehran, a development that could significantly weaken one of Iran’s most important regional supply lines.
But for Israel, the strategic picture is more complicated.
As Iranian influence declines, Turkey is rapidly expanding its military role in Syria, training the new Syrian army, shaping its security structures, and potentially positioning military assets much closer to Israel’s borders.
In a new JCFA analysis, Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah and Oded Ailam argue that Israel should welcome Syria’s break with Iran, without assuming that today’s shared interests will become a lasting strategic alignment.
Their bottom line: Every Israeli concession should be matched by a concrete, verifiable Syrian commitment.
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