02/09/2026
Keep Your Eyes on Turkey
Last week, Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan declared that those who believe they can stop what he called Turkey’s “blessed march” through provocations, plots, and traps would be disappointed. He added that Turkey would not turn away from the path it believes is right.
During the past years, as I have followed President Erdoğan and the direction in which he has been leading Turkey, I have become increasingly concerned, not simply by what he says about Israel, but by what Turkey is doing and the role it is seeking to play in our region.
For years, I have encouraged people to keep their eyes on Turkey. There was a time when that may have seemed strange. Iran was the obvious threat, Hezbollah was building its enormous arsenal in Lebanon, and Hamas controlled Gaza. Turkey, on the other hand, had once been one of Israel’s important regional partners.
Over the years, however, Erdoğan and his government have increasingly revealed the direction in which they intend to take Turkey, and I believe the world can no longer afford to ignore it. The clearest example today may be what is happening in Syria.
The collapse of the Assad regime completely changed the balance of power there. Iran and Hezbollah, which had spent years establishing themselves inside Syria, lost much of their influence, while Turkey found itself in a much stronger position to shape what comes next.
Turkey has been working closely with the new Syrian government and supporting the development of its military capabilities. Turkey already has forces operating in northern Syria and has made clear that its military presence there will continue as long as Ankara believes its security concerns remain unresolved.
Recently, the growing tension became much more visible when Israel struck the Abu al-Duhur airbase in northwestern Syria. Israel said that Syrian authorities were preparing to allow Turkish forces to deploy at the base and that warnings against such a deployment had been ignored.
Syria and Turkey disputed that account. Syrian officials said there were no plans to establish a permanent Turkish base or deploy Turkish forces there. They did, however, acknowledge that Turkish military officers had visited the airbase as part of the growing military cooperation between the two countries.
Whatever ultimately happens at Abu al-Duhur, the larger picture deserves our attention. For decades, Syria separated Turkey from Israel. Today, Turkey already has forces inside Syria, maintains close relations with the new government in Damascus, and is seeking to play an important role in shaping Syria’s future.
Syria is not the only place where we can see the changing regional picture. Israel and Greece have been strengthening their military and strategic relationship while Turkey continues expanding its own military capabilities. Just this week, Israel and Greece signed a major agreement for Israel to help build Greece’s new multi-layered air-defense system.
Turkey is watching these developments closely. Its defense minister has acknowledged that the country is preparing for different scenarios, including the possibility of crisis, tension, and war, as Ankara considers the changing security environment around it.
I want to be clear that I am not saying Turkey and Israel are about to go to war, nor am I predicting what Erdoğan will do next. That would be speculation, and there is already far too much speculation when people discuss the Middle East.
What deserves our attention is the direction in which Erdoğan’s government is moving. His government has maintained ties with Hamas, his hostility toward Israel has become increasingly clear, and Turkey is strengthening its military capabilities, expanding its influence in Syria, and seeking a greater role in the Middle East and eastern Mediterranean. This is why I have encouraged people for years to watch Turkey.
There is also a biblical reason that this part of the world deserves our attention. Ezekiel 38 describes a future coalition that will come against Israel. Among the peoples named are Gomer and Beth-togarmah, names that have often been associated with Asia Minor and areas within or near modern-day Turkey.
We need to approach this passage carefully. Ezekiel does not mention the modern Republic of Turkey, and I am not saying that Erdoğan is fulfilling Ezekiel 38. I do not believe we should read a headline in the morning and then search for a Bible verse to declare it fulfilled by the afternoon.
We should never make the Word of God say more than it actually says, but neither should we ignore what it says. When Scripture directs our attention toward peoples and territories from this part of the world in connection with future events involving Israel, and we watch the leadership of a powerful nation in that same region moving in an increasingly hostile direction, I believe we should pay attention.
There is another passage that I believe is important when we consider how rapidly this region is changing. Isaiah 19 describes a future highway connecting Egypt and Assyria, with Israel in their midst. The passage ends with these remarkable words:
“In that day Israel will be the third party with Egypt and Assyria, a blessing in the midst of the earth, whom the LORD of armies has blessed, saying, ‘Blessed is Egypt My people, and Assyria the work of My hands, and Israel My inheritance.’”
Isaiah 19:24–25 NASB
For years, when teaching this passage, I have reminded people that biblical Assyria cannot simply be identified with one modern country. Its ancient heartland was centered in what is today northern Iraq, while at different times Assyrian territory extended across areas that today belong to Syria, Turkey, and other parts of the region.
This is important when we look at the Middle East today because we tend to look at the modern map and assume that the countries and borders we know will always remain as they are. Yet the biblical picture does not fit neatly within those modern political boundaries.
I am not suggesting that we can use Isaiah 19 to draw a future political map because Scripture does not give us enough information to do that. However, I do believe we should be careful about assuming that Syria, Iraq, Turkey, or any other country in this region will always exist politically and geographically exactly as we know them today.
What has happened in Syria should already have taught us that lesson. For decades, the Assad regime appeared firmly established. Then it collapsed, and the balance of power changed dramatically. Iran’s influence weakened, Turkey’s influence increased, and questions that would have seemed unlikely only a few years ago suddenly became part of the reality we are watching.
We do not know what Syria will eventually become, and we do not know how the governments, alliances, or even the political boundaries of this region may change in the years ahead. What we do know is that the political map we see today does not determine how God will fulfill His Word.
This is why I believe we need both humility and discernment when we consider what is happening around us. I do not know where Erdoğan is ultimately leading Turkey, what Turkey’s relationship with Israel will look like in the years ahead, or exactly how the developments we are watching today fit into biblical prophecy. I will not pretend to know what Scripture does not clearly reveal.
However, after years of watching the direction of Erdoğan’s leadership, I am more convinced than ever that Turkey deserves our attention. We do not need to fear, and we certainly do not need to turn every headline into prophecy. We need to know the Word of God, understand the times in which we live, and watch carefully as the region around us continues to change.
Our confidence is not in governments, armies, political borders, or changing alliances. Our confidence is in the one and only true God. He knows the end from the beginning, and His Word will stand regardless of how many times the political map changes before everything He has spoken comes to pass.
For these reasons, I will continue to encourage you to keep your eyes on Turkey.
Moran
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