Laboratorium Indonesia 2045

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05/10/2026

Dirgahayu Tentara Nasional Indonesia (TNI) ke-81!

Kajian LAB 45 tahun lalu mencatat TNI telah melakukan 490 operasi militer sejak tahun 1945. Dari perjalanan panjang ini, terlihat jelas bagaimana evolusi ancaman telah mengubah wajah penugasan militer kita.

Sepanjang penggelarannya, beban prajurit TNI terus berubah dan tidak menyusut. Dari yang sebelumnya berupa banyak pertempuran singkat, penugasan tersebut kini beralih menjadi penjagaan yang panjang di tepi-tepi republik, terutama menghadapi ancaman separatisme.

Hormat kami untuk setiap ketabahan prajurit yang terus setia menjaga kedaulatan bangsa.

LAB 45 Senior Advisor Andi Widjajanto argues in The Jakarta Post that this summer’s AI incidents are not, at root, a cyb...
29/09/2026

LAB 45 Senior Advisor Andi Widjajanto argues in The Jakarta Post that this summer’s AI incidents are not, at root, a cybersecurity crisis but a structural transformation: for seven days, a swarm of roughly 700 autonomous agents infiltrated Hugging Face unbidden, coordinated covertly, and attempted to scrub their own audit logs. Structural realism was never formulated for pieces that play themselves, yet it outlines the defensive postures states must adopt: self-enforcing crisis protocols, sovereign red-teaming divorced from corporate self-certification, and control over model weights and compute as the contemporary currencies of deterrence. Congress has deferred any legislative intervention until at least 2027. The board is already in play.

Senior Advisor Andi Widjajanto argues in The Jakarta Post that great-power competition will reach Indonesia through comm...
24/09/2026

Senior Advisor Andi Widjajanto argues in The Jakarta Post that great-power competition will reach Indonesia through commodity demand shocks, redirected Chinese exports, and rupiah pressure — not warships. With China’s 2025 trade surplus near US$1.2 trillion and the rupiah trading around 17,850 to the dollar, the geo-economic pressure is already arriving. Two tests will define how much of the fallout Jakarta absorbs: the G20 Summit in Miami this December, and the launch of Indonesia’s Strategic Mineral and Commodity Exchange on January 1, 2027. Save this for reference before both deadlines.

WE’RE HIRING RESEARCH INTERNS!Pernah kepikiran gimana data bisa menjelaskan fenomena politik dan sosial di sekitar kita?...
22/09/2026

WE’RE HIRING RESEARCH INTERNS!
Pernah kepikiran gimana data bisa menjelaskan fenomena politik dan sosial di sekitar kita?

Kalau kamu mahasiswa yang passionate sama riset dan isu-isu politik, hukum, atau pertahanan, ini kesempatan emas buat kamu!

Jadilah bagian dari LAB 45 dan perluas wawasanmu sambil menganalisis isu-isu terkini. Yuk, daftar sekarang sebelum kursi kosong ini diambil orang lain!

📍 Pendaftaran: 👉 lab45.id/internship

21/09/2026

Perlukah Perppu Pemilu diterbitkan? Menurut Haykal, Peneliti Perludem, opsi ini perlu diwaspadai karena tidak melalui proses dialog di DPR dan minim partisipasi publik. Tanpa kondisi darurat atau kekosongan hukum yang jelas, Perppu berisiko menghasilkan aturan yang tidak sesuai kebutuhan publik dan prinsip demokrasi untuk Pemilu 2029.

16/09/2026

Apa konsekuensi bagi Pemilu 2029 jika regulasi belum rampung hingga tenggat waktu yang ideal? Menurut Haykal, Peneliti Perludem, pembahasan RUU Pemilu terbilang stagnan sejak masuk Prolegnas Prioritas 2025. Keterlambatan pengesahan akan mempersempit waktu masyarakat untuk mengoreksi substansi aturan dan penyelenggara menyiapkan regulasi teknis Pemilu 2029. Karena itu, RUU Pemilu idealnya disahkan paling lambat akhir 2026 atau awal 2027.

Jaleswari Pramodhawardani, Head of LAB 45, writes in The Jakarta Post that what Indonesia needs in Flores is not the vol...
10/09/2026

Jaleswari Pramodhawardani, Head of LAB 45, writes in The Jakarta Post that what Indonesia needs in Flores is not the volume of international generosity but the precision to deploy it well. In 2024, less than 10% of global humanitarian funding reached local and national responders, against a 25% target agreed a decade ago. Direct, unmediated funding sat at just 3.8%. Her five-shift framework argues that effective disaster aid treats local institutions as partners to strengthen, not gaps to fill. Save this for your next policy discussion on humanitarian localization.

09/09/2026

Di hadapan Komisi I DPR RI, Christian Guntur Lebang (Koordinator Analis LAB 45) menyoroti satu hal yang menurutnya paling fundamental dalam RUU KKS, yaitu kewajiban menyambungkan jaringan ke Pusat Keamanan Siber pemerintah.

Integrasi pemantauan secara real time seperti ini jarang ditemukan di negara demokratis lainnya. Potensi penyalahgunaannya besar, sehingga batasannya perlu dikunci jelas di dalam undang-undang, bukan sekadar diserahkan ke aturan turunan.

Baginda M Bangsa and Indah Lestari Saani, both Political Economy Analysts at LAB 45, argue in Policy Brief No. 0057 that...
04/09/2026

Baginda M Bangsa and Indah Lestari Saani, both Political Economy Analysts at LAB 45, argue in Policy Brief No. 0057 that Indonesia is entering a period of compounding risk, with the rupiah at a historic low of Rp18,190/USD and BMKG confirming an active El Niño as of June 2026, while disaster preparedness funding has been cut by 75%. Drawing on Weber’s ethic of responsibility, they contend that governing by conviction alone, without adjusting policy when evidence demands it, is precisely what Indonesia cannot afford right now.

03/09/2026

Manufaktur yang loyo membuat permintaan tenaga kerja anjlok, dan hasilnya sudah terasa. Sebanyak 32.000 orang terkena PHK sepanjang semester pertama tahun 2026. Di tengah harga energi yang naik dan rupiah yang melemah, seberapa besar risiko yang sebenarnya kita hadapi?

Saksikan tayangan lengkapnya di kanal YouTube Bambang Widjojanto

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