19/08/2026
📊 In response to today's ONS inflation data, Julian Jessop, Economics Fellow at the IEA:
"Market forces are helping to keep inflation in check, despite the headline rate jumping to 2.9 per cent.
"As expected, the bulk of the rise was driven by higher household energy bills following the increase in the Ofgem cap. Most other components were little changed, while food price inflation fell again, providing little support for claims that supermarket 'price gouging' is driving up grocery bills.
"It is still too soon to sound the 'all clear'. Inflation could rise further in the coming months as pipeline pressures feed through, and may not return to the Bank of England's 2 per cent target until late next year. But subdued demand, strong competition and yesterday's weak labour market data should reassure the Bank that the risks of second round effects are limited.
"The best way to get inflation down is a combination of sound money and allowing market forces to do their job. Rather than constantly tinkering with individual prices, the government should free up markets to increase the supply of housing, food and energy - and reverse the many policies saddling businesses with additional costs."