European Institute for Studies on the Middle East and North Africa

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Fondé en 2021, l’EISMENA propose des activités de recherche, de collecte de données, d’analyse et d’organisation de conférences sur la région MENA, dans les domaines des sciences humaines, sociales et de la géopolitique.

We are pleased to announce a new strategic partnership between EISMENA and IDK Education & Consulting.Bringing together ...
15/10/2026

We are pleased to announce a new strategic partnership between EISMENA and IDK Education & Consulting.

Bringing together EISMENA’s expertise in research, strategic analysis and international project development with IDK’s experience in higher education, this collaboration will advance joint initiatives in strategic consulting, capacity building, international projects, professional development, conferences and seminars.

Together, we look forward to strengthening academic and institutional cooperation across Europe, the Middle East and North Africa.

The expansion of attacks to Saudi civilian, aviation and energy infrastructure demonstrates the Houthis’ ability to exer...
15/10/2026

The expansion of attacks to Saudi civilian, aviation and energy infrastructure demonstrates the Houthis’ ability to exert direct pressure on Saudi territory, despite the Kingdom’s military capabilities and air defence systems. For Riyadh, the stakes now extend beyond the security of its southern border. They encompass the protection of energy infrastructure, freedom of navigation in the Red Sea and the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and the credibility of the economic diversification strategy championed by Mohammed bin Salman. However, international support remains primarily defensive. American reluctance to participate directly in operations against the Houthis, combined with the limitations of its partners’ commitments, leaves Saudi Arabia facing a dilemma: intensify its response at the risk of widening the conflict, or prioritise de-escalation, which could be interpreted as a strategic retreat.

📖 Find out more by reading Lyna Ouandjeli’s briefing notes: https://eismena.com/news/yemen-and-saudi-arabia-renewed-strikes-and-the-risk-of-regional-escalation/

The crisis presents Cairo with a strategic dilemma: Egypt cannot accept that a hostile force should wield lasting coerci...
15/10/2026

The crisis presents Cairo with a strategic dilemma: Egypt cannot accept that a hostile force should wield lasting coercive power at the southern entrance to the Red Sea, but it must avoid being drawn into a new ground war in Yemen. Egypt’s most likely course of action will therefore combine political and intelligence solidarity with Riyadh, a naval and air force build-up in the Red Sea, and the protection of the Suez Canal and the SUMED oil pipeline, whilst showing extreme reluctance towards a ground campaign aimed at recapturing the Yemeni interior.

📖 Find out more by reading Hichem Karoui’s analysis: https://eismena.com/analysis/egypt-and-the-saudi-houthi-crisis-in-bab-al-mandab/

14/10/2026

In this excerpt from France 24, EISMENA Director Adel Bakawan argues that Saudi Arabia’s strategy of balancing the United States, Iran and Israel has reached its limits. With the conflict in Yemen placing Riyadh under growing pressure, every available path—confrontation, negotiation or managing continued instability—comes at a heavy price.

14/10/2026

What Israel is Doing to the Middle East, According to Political Scientist Olivier Roy...

In this excerpt from EISMENA’s interview, political scientist Olivier Roy argues that Netanyahu’s government has abandoned the search for regional balance, pursuing policies that risk deepening instability in Lebanon, Jordan and Syria. What could this shift mean for the Abraham Accords and the future regional order?

Watch the full interview with Olivier Roy: https://youtu.be/aXW18FreNlw

Learn more about the research and analysis we conduct on the MENA region at eismena.com

13/10/2026

Hormuz, the Houthis and Iran’s Global Economic Leverage

EISMENA Director, Adel Bakawan invited to speak on France 24 to share his analysis that failed military action and diplomacy have pushed the US–Iran conflict into a third phase: economic warfare. As Washington increases pressure on Tehran and Iran leverages strategic maritime chokepoints, the consequences are being felt worldwide—with no clear winner in sight.

Learn more about the research analysis we conduct on the MENA region at eismena.com

EISMENA was invited to speak at ULB University in Brussels on the Kurdish question in the Middle East. This event took p...
13/10/2026

EISMENA was invited to speak at ULB University in Brussels on the Kurdish question in the Middle East. This event took place on October 10th, 2026.

This analysis examines the nexus between democratic backsliding, socio-economic vulnerabilities, and migration dynamics ...
13/10/2026

This analysis examines the nexus between democratic backsliding, socio-economic vulnerabilities, and migration dynamics across the Central Mediterranean. Grounded in the Tunisian case, it advances the hypothesis that the erosion of institutional corrective mechanisms can transform social frustration into political disengagement and, subsequently, into an aspiration to migrate. Through Hirschman’s distinction between Voice and Exit, migration is viewed not only as an economic response, but as a possible form of exit when avenues for political transformation appear limited. The analysis subsequently examines European border externalisation and its inherent strategic paradox: containment may reduce migratory flows without necessarily addressing the roots that sustain them. In this context, a future migration shock could crystallise into a European political event, offering further political capital to far-right parties. The objective is not to forecast a new Ceuta, but rather to isolate the causal mechanism capable of precipitating it.

📖 Find out more by reading Saif Eddine Ghobr’s analysis: https://eismena.com/analysis/the-next-ceuta-is-not-in-morocco-it-is-being-forged-in-tunisia/

12/10/2026

Can Iran Disrupt the World’s Three Vital Oil Routes?

EISMENA Director Adel Bakawan explains on Les Informés Franceinfo why increased traffic through the Strait of Hormuz does not mean the danger has passed. With pressure on Hormuz, Bab al-Mandeb and potentially the Suez Canal, geopolitical risk—not oil volumes alone—continues to drive prices.

Interested in learning more about the MENA region? Discover more research and analysis on our website at eismena.com

Trump’s second-term Middle East policy has produced significant tactical successes in Gaza, Syria, Lebanon, and against ...
08/10/2026

Trump’s second-term Middle East policy has produced significant tactical successes in Gaza, Syria, Lebanon, and against Iran, but Washington has repeatedly struggled to turn them into lasting political outcomes. In Gaza, the ceasefire and proposed peace framework have not resolved the underlying political question or prevented continued Israeli territorial expansion. In Syria and Lebanon, efforts to strengthen state authority are undermined by Israeli actions that challenge the consolidation of sovereign state institutions. Most critically, the decision to launch a war against an already weakened Iran reversed years of strategic containment and strengthened Tehran’s hard-line security apparatus and leverage over the Strait of Hormuz.

The article argues that the central failure of Trump’s policy is therefore the “failure of success”: creating favorable strategic conditions but failing to consolidate them into a more stable regional order.

📖 Find out more by reading Marwan Kabalan’s analysis: https://eismena.com/analysis/trumps-middle-east-policy-the-failure-of-success/

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