03/06/2026
War and peace are shaped not only by weapons, interests, and ideology, but also by expectations. Artificial intelligence changes this landscape because it promises to transform uncertainty into calculation, writes Boyan Dafov.
Introduction: from uncertainty to prediction Modern conflict has always involved uncertainty. Political leaders, military commanders, intelligence agencies, diplomats, and non-state actors act under conditions of incomplete information, as they do not fully know what the other side wants, how far it...