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Copper price closes in on new record as Shanghai, London warehouses empty outCopper climbed for a sixth straight session...
23/09/2026

Copper price closes in on new record as Shanghai, London warehouses empty out
Copper climbed for a sixth straight session on Tuesday, its longest winning streak in four months, as Chinese buyers stocked up ahead of next week’s holidays and shrinking inventories in Shanghai and London pointed to a physical market that is running short of metal.

Comex copper for December delivery, the most active contract, rose as much as 1.6% to $6.8710 a pound in New York and was trading at $6.8370 (about $15,070 a tonne) by late morning, up 1.1% on the day and within a stone’s throw of the record settlement of $6.8885 set on September 9, the day before a Reuters report that the White House tariff plan had stalled knocked more than 5% off the price

Copper price set to test $15,000 as investors await US data, tariff clarityCopper prices could break through $15,000 for...
09/09/2026

Copper price set to test $15,000 as investors await US data, tariff clarity

Copper prices could break through $15,000 for the first time as soon as this week, analysts said on Tuesday, as investors position for another round of U.S. economic data and President Donald Trump keeps the market guessing on import tariffs.

Benchmark copper on the London Metal Exchange CMCU3 hit an all-time peak of $14,779 per metric ton, climbing for a fourth straight session as the rally showed no sign of slowing. MET/L

“Will it get to $15,000 this week on Trump’s tariff confusion? Sure, that’s possible,” said Panmure Liberum analyst Tom Price. “You can pick any big number when there’s this much speculative capital behind a trading idea.”

The U.S. has proposed a 15% tariff on refined copper imports from the start of 2027, rising to 30% in 2028, but has neither confirmed nor ruled out a duty.

The prospect of tariffs has seen large volumes of copper flow into COMEX-approved warehouses in the U.S., draining inventories on the LME and in top metals consumer China.

At just over 300,000 tons combined, LME MCUSTX-TOTAL and ShFE CU-STX-SGH copper stocks are less than half COMEX stocks HG-STX-COMEX at record highs of 695,624 tons, with an open arbitrage window helping fuel bumper U.S. imports.

Data in focus
Macro events later this week will likely determine whether copper’s price gain lasts, said Alastair Munro, senior base metals strategist at Marex, pointing to details on a U.S. Treasury bond buyback expected on Wednesday and U.S. Consumer Price Index data for August due on Friday.

Copper could be vulnerable to profit-taking if the dollar .DXY recovers after the CPI release, broker Sucden Financial wrote in a note. A stronger U.S. currency makes dollar-denominated metals more expensive for investors using other currencies.

Still, there is scope for further gains if copper holds above $14,400, Sucden said.

Morgan Stanley’s fourth-quarter forecast of $14,250 could be overshot depending on how and when any tariff decision is made, said Amy Gower, head of metals and mining commodity strategy at the bank, which remains positive on copper for the rest of 2026.

“However, we remain more cautious into 2027, where U.S. import demand is likely to be softer if tariffs are either in place or ruled out,” Gower said.

As long as there is no clarity on tariffs, copper should continue to rise, said SP Angel analyst John Meyer.

“There’s plenty of physical copper in the world, but it’s all in the United States.”

The world is buying gold like it knows something we don’t.China: buying streak stretching past a year and a half, straig...
06/09/2026

The world is buying gold like it knows something we don’t.

China: buying streak stretching past a year and a half, straight through record-high prices.

Russia, India, Turkey… same playbook.

The dollar’s grip on global reserves is slipping, and gold just took the lead spot for the first time in years.

Silver’s been quietly following the move too.

Is it going parabolic? Too early to say for sure.

But when this many central banks make the same bet, at the same time, for this long… that’s not noise.

That’s a signal.

Copper at risk of rare supply decline as mine setbacks mountCopper has been on a record-breaking tear in the past year, ...
05/09/2026

Copper at risk of rare supply decline as mine setbacks mount

Copper has been on a record-breaking tear in the past year, driven largely by tariff-related trade flows. Bullish investors are betting that flatlining mine supply will drive prices even higher.

A string of disappointing results is undermining expectations that global mine supply would post at least modest growth this year. International Copper Study Group data show output fell 1.1% in the first half, with major producers Codelco and Freeport-McMoRan Inc. posting double-digit declines. Morgan Stanley, which entered the year expecting mine supply to expand, now sees it little changed or slightly lower, raising the prospect of the first annual decline since 2017.

That would be a striking outcome — copper trading near record highs should encourage miners to maximize output. Deteriorating ore quality, accidents, project setbacks and extreme weather are frustrating those efforts, and fueling concerns about whether supply can keep pace with demand as electrification gathers pace over the coming years.

For now, there’s no global shortage of refined copper, metal that has been fully processed after being dug out of the ground or recycled. Speculation about a potential US tariff on refined imports has drawn record volumes into US-based warehouses, while supplies elsewhere have grown tighter. That distortion may prove temporary, but mine-supply constraints are not, and bulls are betting those limitations will ultimately drive prices higher.

The difficulties miners face in boosting output are the underlying theme of a “very, very tight market,” Evy Hambro, BlackRock Inc.’s thematic and sector investing global head, said last month in a Bloomberg Television interview. “It’s declining grades at existing operations,” he said. “It’s tired, very, very old assets. It’s a lack of new development of supply coming into the market.”

Large mining companies tracked by Jefferies Financial Group Inc. that account for two-thirds of global supply saw first-half output fall 3.5%, including a 4.1% second-quarter drop driven mainly by Freeport, Codelco, Ivanhoe Mines Ltd. and Antofagasta Plc.

Top producer Chile has been at the center of the disappointing performance, posting its weakest second-quarter output in at least 19 years. The country cut its full-year production forecast for a second straight quarter and now expects a 2.6% decline. Chile’s state-owned Codelco has warned that even a target of modest growth this year may prove a bridge too far.
plays down the threat from the vast US inventory buildup, arguing that even without tariffs those stockpiles are likely to unwind gradually rather than flood back onto the global market.

With demand set to outpace supply growth in the coming years, prices are likely to remain elevated, according to Anglo American Plc Chief Operating Officer Ruben Fernandes.

“Everyone is investing in copper, everyone likes copper,” he said in an interview last week. “Supply will come, but the question is how quickly.”

Global copper stockpiles just hit a two-decade high. But 64% of that metal is sitting in US warehouses, physically inacc...
02/09/2026

Global copper stockpiles just hit a two-decade high. But 64% of that metal is sitting in US warehouses, physically inaccessible to the rest of the world.

Strip out the US-held copper and non-US exchange inventories have retreated to their weakest point since February 2024. The LME has tipped into backwardation, the physical market's clearest signal that nearby supply outside America is tight.

StoneX sees copper positioned to challenge all-time highs before year-end, while flagging approximately $13,000 per tonne as the level where fundamentals stop justifying further price expansion, according to their analysis.

Enjoy this summary? Hit 'save' to read the full analysis later and follow this page to stay up to date on copper market dynamics and Q4 2026 price outlook.

Want to know more? https://discoveryalert.com/analysis/copper-price-prediction-q4-august-2026/


What could September 2026 reveal for copper prices? Could planetary transits offer insights into the next phase for MCX ...
01/09/2026

What could September 2026 reveal for copper prices? Could planetary transits offer insights into the next phase for MCX Copper and the industrial metals sector?

As a key barometer of industrial activity, manufacturing demand, and global economic sentiment, copper remains one of the most closely watched base metals in the commodity markets.

India's Most Trusted Financial & Stock Market Astrologer, Prashant Kapoor, shares his astrology-based analysis of MCX Copper for September 2026, exploring planetary transits, market cycles, and possible market scenarios from a Financial Astrology perspective.

👉 Become an AstroKapoor Channel Member to access the complete September 2026 Copper Outlook and exclusive Financial Astrology insights.

▶️ Join to understand what the planetary analysis may indicate for MCX Copper and the broader commodities market.
https://youtube.com/live/cLlEoFGkizc

📖 Now available on Amazon. Get your copy today:
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-------------------------------------

Copper price graph, 2005-2026.. Bull is going upside..
28/08/2026

Copper price graph, 2005-2026.. Bull is going upside..

Copper Price Forecast 2026, 2027 and 2030: Can Prices Hold Above $14,000?Table of Contentscopper price forecast 2026Copp...
27/08/2026

Copper Price Forecast 2026, 2027 and 2030: Can Prices Hold Above $14,000?

Table of Contents
copper price forecast 2026

Copper entered 2026 with strong momentum before climbing above $14,500 per metric tonne, supported by mine disruptions, grid investment, artificial intelligence infrastructure and shifting US trade policy. However, record prices have also attracted more supply, encouraged recycling and raised concerns that market enthusiasm may be running ahead of near-term physical demand.

This copper price forecast for 2026, 2027 and 2030 compares analyst targets, supply-demand projections and bullish and bearish scenarios for the industrial metal.

Key Takeaways
LME cash copper stood at approximately $14,167 per tonne on August 21, 2026, remaining close to its record high.
Published 2026 forecasts range from around $12,100 to $15,000 per tonne, although the estimates use different time horizons.
ICSG expects a 96,000-tonne refined copper surplus in 2026, while other analysts continue to forecast a deficit.
AI data centres, electricity grids, electric vehicles and renewable energy could support copper demand through 2030.
The slow development of new mines remains a bullish long-term factor, but recovering supply and weaker economic growth could cause corrections.
Eligible traders can access copper CFDs through Markets.com and speculate on either rising or falling prices without owning physical copper.
Where Is Copper Trading Now?
Copper remains near historically high levels after a volatile rally. The latest available London Metal Exchange official data showed cash copper quoted at $14,167 bid and $14,167.50 ask per metric tonne on August 21, 2026. The three-month contract was lower at approximately $14,054 per tonne.

That difference means the cash price was above the three-month price, a market structure known as backwardation. It can indicate stronger demand for immediately available metal, although a single daily reading is not sufficient to confirm a persistent physical shortage.

Market Measure

Latest Available Value

What It Indicates

LME cash copper

Approximately $14,167 per tonne

Reference for immediately deliverable copper

LME three-month copper

Approximately $14,054 per tonne

Forward market expectations

December 2027 contract

Approximately $13,970 per tonne

Longer-term market pricing

December 2028 contract

Approximately $13,950 per tonne

Expectations beyond the current cycle

Recent 2026 record

Above $14,500 per tonne

Extent of the current rally

Cash price per pound

Approximately $6.43

Comparable quotation for US markets

Prices are based on LME official data available for August 21, 2026. Copper prices vary by exchange, contract, currency and observation time.

The move is striking when viewed against copper’s recent history. The metal traded around $7,000 per tonne in July 2022 before recovering as interest shifted toward electrification, grid infrastructure and future supply constraints. Prices accelerated during 2025 and reached new highs in 2026.

Nevertheless, the relatively flat LME forward prices for December 2027, 2028 and 2029 suggest that the market was not pricing an uninterrupted surge. Instead, forward contracts near $14,000 indicated expectations that tight conditions could ease while prices remained historically elevated.

What Are Analysts Forecasting for Copper in 2026?
The copper price forecast 2026 analysts provide is unusually wide. One reason is that institutions are not always forecasting the same measure. An annual-average estimate includes prices from earlier in the year, while a year-end target refers to a single future point. A 12-month target may extend well into 2027.

Table of Contents
copper price forecast 2026

Copper entered 2026 with strong momentum before climbing above $14,500 per metric tonne, supported by mine disruptions, grid investment, artificial intelligence infrastructure and shifting US trade policy. However, record prices have also attracted more supply, encouraged recycling and raised concerns that market enthusiasm may be running ahead of near-term physical demand.

This copper price forecast for 2026, 2027 and 2030 compares analyst targets, supply-demand projections and bullish and bearish scenarios for the industrial metal.

Key Takeaways
LME cash copper stood at approximately $14,167 per tonne on August 21, 2026, remaining close to its record high.
Published 2026 forecasts range from around $12,100 to $15,000 per tonne, although the estimates use different time horizons.
ICSG expects a 96,000-tonne refined copper surplus in 2026, while other analysts continue to forecast a deficit.
AI data centres, electricity grids, electric vehicles and renewable energy could support copper demand through 2030.
The slow development of new mines remains a bullish long-term factor, but recovering supply and weaker economic growth could cause corrections.
Eligible traders can access copper CFDs through Markets.com and speculate on either rising or falling prices without owning physical copper.
Where Is Copper Trading Now?
Copper remains near historically high levels after a volatile rally. The latest available London Metal Exchange official data showed cash copper quoted at $14,167 bid and $14,167.50 ask per metric tonne on August 21, 2026. The three-month contract was lower at approximately $14,054 per tonne.

C
COPPER
6.6867
Price
-0.52%
24H change

Strat Trading
copper price

That difference means the cash price was above the three-month price, a market structure known as backwardation. It can indicate stronger demand for immediately available metal, although a single daily reading is not sufficient to confirm a persistent physical shortage.

Market Measure

Latest Available Value

What It Indicates

LME cash copper

Approximately $14,167 per tonne

Reference for immediately deliverable copper

LME three-month copper

Approximately $14,054 per tonne

Forward market expectations

December 2027 contract

Approximately $13,970 per tonne

Longer-term market pricing

December 2028 contract

Approximately $13,950 per tonne

Expectations beyond the current cycle

Recent 2026 record

Above $14,500 per tonne

Extent of the current rally

Cash price per pound

Approximately $6.43

Comparable quotation for US markets

Prices are based on LME official data available for August 21, 2026. Copper prices vary by exchange, contract, currency and observation time.

The move is striking when viewed against copper’s recent history. The metal traded around $7,000 per tonne in July 2022 before recovering as interest shifted toward electrification, grid infrastructure and future supply constraints. Prices accelerated during 2025 and reached new highs in 2026.

Nevertheless, the relatively flat LME forward prices for December 2027, 2028 and 2029 suggest that the market was not pricing an uninterrupted surge. Instead, forward contracts near $14,000 indicated expectations that tight conditions could ease while prices remained historically elevated.

What Are Analysts Forecasting for Copper in 2026?
The copper price forecast 2026 analysts provide is unusually wide. One reason is that institutions are not always forecasting the same measure. An annual-average estimate includes prices from earlier in the year, while a year-end target refers to a single future point. A 12-month target may extend well into 2027.

Institution

Forecast Type

Copper Price Forecast

Main Assumption

Bernstein

2026 annual average

$12,419 per tonne

Tightness eases during the second half

Bernstein

Second-half 2026 average

$11,750 per tonne

Softer prices as supply improves

Macquarie

2026 annual average

$13,165 per tonne

Strong momentum despite looser physical fundamentals

Cochilco

2026 forecast

$12,250 per tonne

High prices moderated by market rebalancing

S&P Global

2026 average

Approximately $12,100 per tonne

More conservative supply-demand assumptions

Goldman Sachs

End-2026 target

$13,735 per tonne

Weaker mine supply and regional shortages

Citigroup

Near-term target

$14,500 per tonne

Tariff effects, resilient demand and constrained supply

Citigroup

Six-to-12-month target

$15,000 per tonne

Continued tightening and infrastructure demand

J.P. Morgan

Directional target

Toward $15,000 per tonne

Restricted mine output and structural consumption

Several annual-average forecasts now sit below the August cash price. That does not necessarily mean the data are contradictory. Copper traded at lower levels earlier in 2026, so the full-year average can finish below the current market even if prices remain relatively firm.

The differences also demonstrate how quickly forecasts can become outdated. Goldman Sachs initially expected copper to remain broadly between $10,000 and $11,000 in 2026, with a first-half average of $10,710. Later market developments, including production disruptions and regional inventory movements, led to substantially higher estimates.

With copper already above Goldman Sachs’ updated $13,735 year-end target and close to Citi’s $14,500 near-term objective, further upside may require new bullish catalysts. A move toward $15,000 remains plausible, but the market has already priced in a meaningful portion of the optimistic outlook.

Why is there a Nobel Prize? It’s all because of Alfred Nobel.The Nobel Prize was set up when businessman and entrepreneu...
26/08/2026

Why is there a Nobel Prize? It’s all because of Alfred Nobel.

The Nobel Prize was set up when businessman and entrepreneur Alfred Nobel died and left most of his fortune to the establishment of prizes in physics, chemistry, physiology or medicine, literature and peace. His will stated that the prizes should be awarded to “those who, during the preceding year, shall have conferred the greatest benefit to humankind.”

Find out more about the establishment of the Nobel Prizes: https://www.nobelprize.org/alfred-nobel/

🚨 is headed for its highest price in history 📈 📈
26/08/2026

🚨 is headed for its highest price in history 📈 📈

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