09/28/2026
Alright guys! This is our biggest chance for rain in quite a while. Some 7 day forecasts are predicting up to 7 inches, with the heaviest rain happening Wednesday & Thursday. If you have chairs, floating docks, toys, etc down by the river- please go pick them up. We don’t want to jinx anything, but the weathermen are all agreeing right now, so it’s better to be prepared instead of having things float downstream. We’ll keep our eyes peeled & we hope you will too!
⚠️FLASH FLOOD RISK INCREASING in the coming week. THURSDAY remains as the biggest day of concern, but not the only day that flooding could occur. New level 3 out of 4 flood risk issues for the majority of Central Texas.
Setup - Slow-moving cold front, upper level low, and tropical moisture from the Gulf AND the Pacific will all line up over Central Texas. This will generate slow/training storms that will produce higher-than-usual rainfall rates.
On the plus side, we are in an extreme drought so the soil has some room to soak up some of this rain. On the other hand, drought can make the soil hydrophobic (resistant to absorbing water) when the first heavy rain sets in which can actually increase the risk for flash flooding.
Something else we will have to keep an eye on this week is the lakes. Lake Travis and Lake Buchanan are still 93% full combined and are there for a bit more sensitive to flooding/floodgate operations because there just isn't much wiggle room to store runoff.
Busy busy week of forecasting ahead. I'm back in Austin and chewing on all the data I can guzzle down. Fresh, thorough breakdown of events coming your way early Monday morning.