Esaar Development Foundation

10/06/2026

❄️ Why do severe winter storms still occur in a warming climate?

Climate change does not remove cold weather: it changes how it behaves.

As global temperatures rise, winters are milder on average and snow cover is declining. Yet warming also alters atmospheric dynamics, sometimes increasing winter disruption.

Key mechanisms include:
🌀 Polar vortex shifts – when weakened or displaced, it can amplify jet stream swings and push Arctic air south.
💧 More atmospheric moisture – warmer air and oceans fuel heavier snow, sleet, or freezing rain when cold air is present.
⚖️ Competing effects – reduced temperature contrasts can weaken storms, while extremes may intensify.

The result: fewer cold events overall, but potentially sharper impacts when they occur.

Understanding this complexity strengthens forecasting, early warnings, and preparedness.

Learn more ➡️ https://ow.ly/j63S50Z7G9P

09/06/2026

This World Environment Day is an opportunity to reflect on one of the main findings from the ’s Climate Change 2023: Synthesis Report:

Human activities, principally through emissions of greenhouse gases, have unequivocally caused global warming.

Read the report here 🔗 https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/syr/

09/06/2026

09/06/2026

12/04/2026

Early warnings only work when they are received, understood, and acted upon by everyone.

That’s why early warning systems needs to be:
🔺 Multi-hazard
⛓️ End-to-end
🤝 People-centred

Through the initiative, UNDRR and our partners World Meteorological Organization, ITU and International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies are working to scale early warning systems that are multi-hazard, end-to-end, and people-centered, so everyone, everywhere, is protected.

➡️Learn more: https://ow.ly/eqHg50Xxsaq

12/04/2026

✅ The answer, it turns out, is yes.

Research by cognitive psychologist Dr Susan Joslyn at the University of Washington shows that probabilistic forecasts outperform single-value ones. People make better protective decisions when uncertainty is acknowledged – and they trust the forecast more. 🎯

The reason? Honesty. Most people already know forecasts aren't certain. A forecast that admits it feels more credible, not less. 📊

The benefit is broad, and education level makes no difference.

Full interview on PreventionWeb ➡️ https://ow.ly/ut5V50YGFbc