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FUEL DISCOUNT IS NOT FUEL SUBSIDY: LET’S GET THE ECONOMICS RIGHTThe Federal Government’s ₦15 petrol discount has absolut...
08/10/2026

FUEL DISCOUNT IS NOT FUEL SUBSIDY: LET’S GET THE ECONOMICS RIGHT

The Federal Government’s ₦15 petrol discount has absolutely nothing to do with the calls by Atiku and some other opposition presidential candidates for a return to fuel subsidy. It is a temporary palliative measure, similar to interventions being adopted by governments in other parts of the world to cushion citizens from the impact of volatile global energy prices.

Why are some people calling a palliative measure a return to fuel subsidy? It appears they either do not understand what fuel subsidy means—or are deliberately confusing the two for political reasons.

I personally do not believe the ₦15 discount announced by President Tinubu’s administration is a response to Atiku’s subsidy campaign. The timing and circumstances suggest something broader: governments around the world are responding to the pressure created by rising and volatile Brent crude prices, and Nigeria cannot afford to pretend that the global energy crisis does not exist.

Just three days ago, for instance, President Donald Trump permitted red-dyed diesel to be used on highways during the current period of pressure, while some diesel-related taxes were suspended until the end of the year.

In France, President Emmanuel Macron called for the release of 100 million barrels of crude from countries with sufficient reserves to increase market supply.

Spain has announced fuel-tax cuts and reduced VAT on fuel from 21% to 10%, while Germany has also moved to reduce energy-fuel taxes to ease the burden on consumers.

So, what should Nigeria do? Sit back and watch while countries with stronger economies and higher minimum wages are introducing measures to protect their citizens?

Of course not.

The ₦15 discount may not be enough, and Nigerians are justified in wanting greater relief. But the intervention nevertheless shows that the Nigerian government is responding to an extraordinary global energy situation rather than simply watching from the sidelines.

And yes, Atiku's call for a return to subsidy may give the Tinubu administration a political headache. But let us not rewrite history: a call made since August 19 cannot logically be presented as the reason for an intervention driven by today's global energy realities.

There is a fundamental difference between bringing back a permanent, costly fuel subsidy regime and introducing a temporary price-relief measure to cushion citizens during a period of global volatility.

Confusing the two may make for good political headlines, but it does not make good economics.

Fuel discount is not fuel subsidy. The distinction matters.

World Bank: Naira Performs Better Than Several African CurrenciesOctober 8, 2026The Nigerian naira has shown strong resi...
08/10/2026

World Bank: Naira Performs Better Than Several African Currencies

October 8, 2026

The Nigerian naira has shown strong resilience compared with several other African currencies, according to the World Bank.

In its October 2026 Africa Economic Update, the World Bank said the naira fell by a maximum of 2.6% between March and June 2026. This was a relatively small decline compared with other African currencies during the same period.

For example:

Ghana’s cedi fell by as much as 10%.

The currencies of South Africa, Lesotho, Namibia and Eswatini fell by up to 7.2%.

DR Congo’s currency fell by up to 6%.

Uganda’s currency fell by up to 5%.

The World Bank examined the performance of 22 African currencies, excluding countries that use the CFA franc.

The naira later recovered

The naira also regained some of its lost value. By August 2026, it had improved by about 1.9% from its lowest point between March and June.

This recovery was better than that of some other African currencies. For example, by August:

Ghana’s cedi was still 2.5% weaker than its February level.

Uganda’s currency was still 3.1% weaker.

South Sudan’s currency was still 5.5% weaker.

Overall, only 10 of the 22 currencies studied by the World Bank were still weaker than their February levels by the end of August.

Why did the naira perform relatively well?

One major reason is Nigeria’s position as a major oil-producing country.

When global oil prices increased, Nigeria earned more money from oil exports. This brought more foreign exchange (forex) into the country and helped support the naira.

Countries that depend heavily on importing fuel and other energy products faced the opposite situation because higher energy prices increased their expenses and put more pressure on their currencies.

The World Bank also said that several African currencies came under pressure because of:

Strong demand for US dollars.

Money leaving emerging and developing markets.

Higher costs of repaying dollar-denominated debt.

Geopolitical tensions and the conflict in the Middle East.

Nigeria's economy is also expected to grow

The World Bank has increased its forecast for Nigeria's economic growth in 2026 to 4.3%, compared with about 4% in 2025.

It expects Nigeria's economy to grow by 4.4% in both 2027 and 2028.

The bank believes this improvement is linked to:

Greater economic stability.

Increased investor confidence.

A gradual recovery in private-sector investment.

But there are still risks

The World Bank warned that Nigeria must continue with its economic reforms because the country's progress could still be affected by several problems.

These include:

Higher global interest rates and tighter financial conditions.

A prolonged conflict in the Middle East.

Insecurity in Nigeria.

Climate-related problems.

Disruptions to oil production.

Increased government spending ahead of the 2027 elections.

In simple terms

The main message is that the naira performed better than many other African currencies in 2026. Although it came under pressure, its decline was relatively small and it later recovered some of its value.

Nigeria's oil exports helped provide foreign exchange and support the currency. At the same time, the World Bank believes Nigeria's economy is becoming stronger, but says the government must continue its reforms and manage spending carefully to maintain this progress.

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