28/05/2026
Armenia is approaching what may be the most important election in its modern history not because every election is called “historic”, but because this one will likely determine the country’s geopolitical and democratic future for years to come.
At our discussion with Armenian analyst and former MP Gayane Abrahamyan, MEP Markéta Gregorová, and Pavel Havlíček from the Association for International Affairs, several key points stood out:
• These elections are not primarily about domestic politics or the ruling party. According to Abrahamyan, Armenians are choosing between a democratic, European path — and a return to the Russian sphere of influence.
• Foreign disinformation campaigns targeting Armenia have reportedly increased by 300% over the past five months, particularly from Russia, with some narratives also coming from Azerbaijan.
• Unlike in Moldova or Georgia, the dominant public narrative is not simply “EU vs. Russia”. In Armenia, fear is often framed as a choice between Russian influence and perceived Turkish domination.
• Out of 19 political parties running, only three can realistically be described as genuinely pro-democratic.
• Massive disinformation campaigns are targeting the ruling party, including narratives claiming that “peace equals capitulation” and those spreading fear that voting for the government will lead to the resettlement of 300,000 Azerbaijanis in Armenia.
• The situation is extraordinarily unpredictable. Abrahamyan stressed that Armenia has never experienced elections quite like these before.
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